Trinity Industries stock
TRNNYSETrinity Industries, Inc., IndustrialsISIN US8965221091
56Score 56 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
60 / 100
Price history
+19% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 4.3% below it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 70).
The price is 21% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 86% (April 2007 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$27.46
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$31.54
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)70
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$24.82
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$38.07
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Trinity Industries, Inc. belongs to the Railroads industry (United States) and, with a market value of $2.36B, is number 23 of 29 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.16B (down 30% year on year) and earnings of $253.1M (up 82.9%).
- MEQIRI Score 56 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 686 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
Show more
- The P/E is 7.2 (Railroads median 25, own median of recent years 20.3).
- Our model puts fair value at $60.36, with the price 50% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Modestly valuedP/E 7.2, Railroads median 25, own median 20.3.Valuation 99
- Share buybacksShare count down 30% since 2020.Capital allocation 66
- Below fair valuePrice 50% below the fair value of $60.36.Valuation 99
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 4.71 times equity (latest quarter), Railroads median 1.07.Stability 42
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$271.6M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 41
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 2.4 times.Stability 42
Its standout strength is valuation, while stability and fundamentals hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $43.11 and expensive above $100.59 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $16.38 (cash-flow model) and $104.33 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 11.4%. At 12.4% the fair value would be $59.40, at 10.4% it would be $61.61.
Valuation metrics
Half from the dividend model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (25).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 2.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has changed sharply in recent years: $2.16B in 2025 after $3.08B in 2024.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 27%, operating 17%, net 12%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 11 Feb 2027in 91 days
- Last reported
- 29 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.27 (expected $0.27)in line with expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $2.25+1.1%
- Revenue
- $2.28B+2.6%
- Earnings per share
- $2.18−2.2%
- Revenue
- $2.6B+2.8%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +15.3%Trinity Industries raised its 2026 secondary market railcar gains guidance to a range of $180 million to $200 million, about $20 million higher at the midpoint, while confirming full year EPS guidance of $2.20 to $2.40 and segment margin of 5% to 6%.
“We have seen opportunities in the secondary market and are increasing our secondary market railcar gains expectations for the year to a range of $180 million to $200 million, reflecting higher expected cash gains in the fourth quarter than we have seen this year.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Trinity Industries
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 56
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Railroads
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- RumoRAIL3.SA $5.34B54
- Tokyo Metro Co9023.T $5.26B52
- Stadler RailSRAIL.SW $3.81B59
- Construcciones y Auxiliar de FerrocarrilesCAF.MC $2.6B64
- Jungfraubahn HoldingJFN.SW $1.87B67
- Greenbrier CompaniesGBX $1.32B51
- VosslohVOS.DE $1.07B40
- L.B. FosterFSTR $445.11M63
ETFs that hold Trinity Industries
Held by 17 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR S&P Global Dividend Aristocrats UCITS ETF (Dist)ZPRG | 1.20% | 0.45% | €1.63B |
| UBS S&P Dividend Aristocrats ESG Elite UCITS ETF USD disUBUM | 1.16% | 0.30% | €237.98M |
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.23% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
Show 5 more
| WisdomTree US High Dividend UCITS ETF AccWTD9 | 0.16% | 0.29% | €182.46M |
| WisdomTree US Equity Income UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTDY | 0.15% | 0.35% | €204.34M |
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.14% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.13% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.12% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 20 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.