Rumo stock
RAIL3.SASAORumo S.A., IndustrialsISIN BRRAILACNOR9
54Score 54 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
57 / 100
Price history
−5.1% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 2.4% above it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 31).
The price is 19% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 98% (July 2007 to January 2016).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$2.90
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$2.73
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)31
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$2.22
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$3.47
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Rumo S.A. belongs to the Railroads industry (Brazil) and, with a market value of $5.2B, is number 19 of 29 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.66B (up 6.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.18.
- MEQIRI Score 54 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 729 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
Show more
- The P/E is 23.6 (Railroads median 15, own median of recent years 61.8).
- Our model puts fair value at $2.80, with the price 3% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 20.6% a year since 2020.Growth 81
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 21% a year through 2028 (estimates from 7 analysts).Growth 81
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 2.15 times equity (latest quarter), Railroads median 0.34.Stability 40
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$5.72M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 44
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.9 times.Stability 40
Its standout strength is growth, while stability and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 52 to 54.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk not measured
How well MEQIRI warnsFor stocks from Japan, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea, Canada, India and Brazil we only show crash risk once a separate backtest shows that it warns as well there as in the US and Europe.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $2.00 and expensive above $4.67 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $3.83 (cash-flow model) and $1.78 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 15.7%. At 16.7% the fair value would be $2.60, at 14.7% it would be $3.06.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (15).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 3.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 12% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 45%, operating 42%, net 6%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 12 Nov 2026today
- Last reported
- 12 Aug 2026EPS reported $0.07 (expected $0.06)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 3.4% since 27 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $0.18−1.2%
- Revenue
- $2.66B0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $0.25−3.4%
- Revenue
- $2.86B−0.4%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 27 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
What happened at Rumo
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 54
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Railroads
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- West Japan Railway9021.T $9.31B60
- China Railway Signal & Communication688009.SS $7.94B53
- Hyundai Rotem064350.KS $6.06B64
- AlstomALO.PA $5.36B41
- Tokyo Metro Co9023.T $5.26B52
- Stadler RailSRAIL.SW $3.81B59
- Construcciones y Auxiliar de FerrocarrilesCAF.MC $2.6B64
- Trinity IndustriesTRN $2.36B56
ETFs that hold Rumo
Held by 47 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Franklin FTSE Brazil UCITS ETF USDFLXB | 0.91% | 0.19% | €232.67M |
| iShares MSCI Brazil UCITS ETF USD (Dist)IQQB | 0.72% | 0.74% | €403.94M |
| iShares MSCI EM Latin America UCITS ETF USDIUSC | 0.36% | 0.20% | €1.71B |
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| Amundi MSCI Emerging Markets SRI Climate Paris Aligned UCITS ETF DR (C)AMEI | 0.33% | 0.25% | €2.52B |
| UBS MSCI EM Socially Responsible UCITS ETF USD accUETE | 0.12% | 0.24% | €2.81B |
| iShares MSCI EM SRI UCITS ETF36B5 | 0.12% | 0.25% | €486.14M |
| iShares Global Infrastructure UCITS ETF Accum USDCBUX | 0.11% | 0.65% | €217.04M |
| iShares MSCI EM CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFEDM2 | 0.10% | 0.18% | €7.09B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = R$5.5565)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 26 Jun 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 10 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.