Alstom stock
ALO.PAPARAlstom S.A., IndustrialsISIN FR0010220475
41Score 41 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
24 / 100
Price history
−55% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 44% below it.
Since May 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 5).
The price is 65% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 88% (June 2008 to December 2023).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$16.42
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$20.40
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)5
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$11.45
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$33.07
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Alstom S.A. belongs to the Railroads industry (France) and, with a market value of $5.3B, is number 19 of 29 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $21.24B (up 3.7% year on year) and earnings of $359.02M (up 117.4%).
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $22.06B (up 3.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of −$0.22.
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- MEQIRI Score 41 out of 100 (Weak): rank 904 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 14.8 (Railroads median 25.2, own median of recent years 24).
- Our model puts fair value at $34.64, with the price 67% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Modestly valuedP/E 14.8, Railroads median 25.2, own median 24.Valuation 95
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 16.9% a year since 2021, Railroads median 7.1%.
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 100% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 55
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 76% since 2021.Capital allocation 23
- Share price fell sharplyDown 55% over the last 12 months.Momentum 12
- Volatile share priceVolatility 50% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 61
Its standout strength is valuation, while profitability and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- high price swings
- weak momentum
What lowers it
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapIn our model the price counts as cheap below $24.74 and expensive above $57.74 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $49.75 (cash-flow model) and $19.54 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.8%. At 8.8% the fair value would be $30.20, at 6.8% it would be $41.33.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (25.2).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In fiscal 2026, revenue rose 3.7% on the prior year. Revenue has grown solidly since 2014, at about 11% per year. From 2014 revenue only includes continuing operations, sold or discontinued divisions have been reclassified. Earlier years are not comparable and not shown, and the margins for 2014 are not measured.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 11%, operating 4%, net 2%. From 2014 revenue only includes continuing operations, sold or discontinued divisions have been reclassified. Earlier years are not comparable and not shown, and the margins for 2014 are not measured.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 17 Nov 2026in 4 days
- Last reported
- 13 May 2026EPS reported $0.41 (expected $0.75)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 112.4% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- −$0.22−112.4%
- Revenue
- $22.06B−2.0%
- Earnings per share
- $1.53−28.8%
- Revenue
- $23.35B−1.9%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
What happened at Alstom
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1018 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 41
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Railroads
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric688187.SS $9.32B56
- China Railway Signal & Communication688009.SS $7.81B51
- Hyundai Rotem064350.KS $6.06B64
- Tokyo Metro Co9023.T $5.36B53
- RumoRAIL3.SA $5.14B53
- Stadler RailSRAIL.SW $3.79B60
- Construcciones y Auxiliar de FerrocarrilesCAF.MC $2.62B65
- Trinity IndustriesTRN $2.36B56
ETFs that hold Alstom
Held by 107 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amundi Global Hydrogen UCITS ETF AccAMEE | 1.51% | 0.45% | €205.36M |
| iShares EURO STOXX Mid UCITS ETFIQQM | 0.46% | 0.40% | €560.15M |
| iShares MSCI EMU Mid Cap UCITS ETF EURIS3H | 0.30% | 0.49% | €570.32M |
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| State Street SPDR MSCI Europe Value UCITS ETFZPRW | 0.28% | 0.20% | €92.01M |
| iShares MSCI Europe Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETFCEMT | 0.28% | 0.25% | €36.34M |
| Deka MSCI Europe MC UCITS ETFEL43 | 0.26% | 0.36% | €67.53M |
| iShares MSCI Europe Industrials Sector UCITS ETFESIN | 0.25% | 0.18% | €1.05B |
| iShares Edge MSCI Europe Value Factor UCITS ETFCEMS | 0.24% | 0.25% | €2.59B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Mar 2026
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 28 Mar 2025)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.
