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Alstom stock

ALO.PAPAR

Alstom S.A., IndustrialsISIN FR0010220475

$11.45▼ $0.10 (−0.9%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

41Score 41 out of 100, Weak

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Price and trend

24 / 100

Price history

−55% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 44% below it.

Trend change

Since May 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 5).

Distance to the high

The price is 65% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 88% (June 2008 to December 2023).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$16.42
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$20.40
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)5
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$11.45
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$33.07
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$5.3B
Div. yield
no dividend
14.8
13.3
on earnings for the next twelve months ($0.86 per share)
Fair value
$34.64

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Alstom S.A. belongs to the Railroads industry (France) and, with a market value of $5.3B, is number 19 of 29 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $21.24B (up 3.7% year on year) and earnings of $359.02M (up 117.4%).
  • For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $22.06B (up 3.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of −$0.22.
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  • MEQIRI Score 41 out of 100 (Weak): rank 904 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
  • The P/E is 14.8 (Railroads median 25.2, own median of recent years 24).
  • Our model puts fair value at $34.64, with the price 67% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Modestly valuedP/E 14.8, Railroads median 25.2, own median 24.Valuation 95
  • Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 16.9% a year since 2021, Railroads median 7.1%.
  • Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 100% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 55

Weaknesses

  • DilutionShare count up 76% since 2021.Capital allocation 23
  • Share price fell sharplyDown 55% over the last 12 months.Momentum 12
  • Volatile share priceVolatility 50% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 61
41/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Weak

Its standout strength is valuation, while profitability and momentum hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

The fundamentals are in the middle range.

Profit consistency70% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, fiscal 2026)100%
ROIC (12 months)3.0%
Positive free cash flow70% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • price far below its 52-week high
  • high price swings
  • weak momentum

What lowers it

  • price not overheated over the past year

Valuation

Valuation signal

Possible value trap
Price
$11.45
Fair value
$34.64
Gap to fair value
−67%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $24.74 and expensive above $57.74 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $49.75 (cash-flow model) and $19.54 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.8%. At 8.8% the fair value would be $30.20, at 6.8% it would be $41.33.

Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50.

Valuation metrics

no data
4.5
Fair value (model)
$34.64
Earnings part $19.54 (earnings per share $0.77 × 25.2)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (25.2).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

13 years

In fiscal 2026, revenue rose 3.7% on the prior year. Revenue has grown solidly since 2014, at about 11% per year. From 2014 revenue only includes continuing operations, sold or discontinued divisions have been reclassified. Earlier years are not comparable and not shown, and the margins for 2014 are not measured.

Margins

13 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2026: gross 11%, operating 4%, net 2%. From 2014 revenue only includes continuing operations, sold or discontinued divisions have been reclassified. Earlier years are not comparable and not shown, and the margins for 2014 are not measured.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.43
8.1x
0.94
Cash & equivalents
$2.58B

The balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.

Earnings

Next earnings
17 Nov 2026in 4 days
Last reported
13 May 2026EPS reported $0.41 (expected $0.75)below expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 112.4% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.

Fiscal 202713 analysts
Earnings per share
−$0.22−112.4%
Revenue
$22.06B−2.0%
Fiscal 202813 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.53−28.8%
Revenue
$23.35B−1.9%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

What happened at Alstom

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

1018 rated companies in Industrials

Rank 904 of 1018
904/ 1018
This company
41
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 1,018 companies22 (median 53)31 below the median
GrowthMedian of 1,018 companies48 (median 63)15 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 1,018 companies55 (median 71)16 below the median
ValuationMedian of 974 companies with a value95 (median 64)31 above the median
StabilityMedian of 1,018 companies61 (median 65)4 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 1,018 companies23 (median 55)32 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 1,018 companies24 (median 59)35 below the median
MomentumMedian of 1,018 companies12 (median 57)45 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Railroads

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 29 Railroads stocks

ETFs that hold Alstom

Held by 107 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
Amundi Global Hydrogen UCITS ETF AccAMEE1.51%0.45%€205.36M
iShares EURO STOXX Mid UCITS ETFIQQM0.46%0.40%€560.15M
iShares MSCI EMU Mid Cap UCITS ETF EURIS3H0.30%0.49%€570.32M
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Mar 2026
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 28 Mar 2025)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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