Greenbrier Companies stock
GBXNYSEThe Greenbrier Companies, Inc., IndustrialsISIN US3936571013
50Score 50 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
56 / 100
Price history
−1.6% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 12% below it.
Since June 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 65).
The price is 29% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 95% (July 2007 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$40.84
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$47.82
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)65
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$37.48
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$58.87
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. belongs to the Railroads industry (United States) and, with a market value of $1.3B, is number 25 of 29 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $2.46B (down 23.9% year on year) and earnings of $79M (down 61.3%).
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.9B (up 17.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of $3.33 (up 28.2%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 50 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 790 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 18 (Railroads median 25.2, own median of recent years 14.7).
- Our model puts fair value at $41.30, with the price 1% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 20.8% a year since 2021.Growth 66
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2017 to 2026.
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 12 years.
Weaknesses
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$239.7M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 45
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 2.1 times.Stability 58
Its standout strength is valuation, while capital allocation and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 51 to 50.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $29.50 and expensive above $68.83 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $23.81 (cash-flow model) and $58.79 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.7%. At 10.7% the fair value would be $39.56, at 8.7% it would be $43.76.
Valuation metrics
Half from the dividend model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (25.2).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In fiscal 2026, revenue fell 23.9% on the prior year. Revenue has grown solidly since 2007, at about 4% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 14%, operating 6%, net 3%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 14 Jan 2027in 62 days
- Last reported
- 26 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.39 (expected $0.80)below expectations
Analyst estimates
- Earnings per share
- $3.33−11.1%
- Revenue
- $2.9B+7.7%
- Earnings per share
- $4.48−11.4%
- Revenue
- $3.19B+18.8%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −1.6%Greenbrier sees a notably more constructive outlook for 2027: backlog rose for the first time since 2024 to 14,000 railcars, revenue guidance of $2.8 to $3.2 billion and stronger back-half weighted deliveries expected.
“Greenbrier's backlog increased to 14,000 railcars valued at $2.1 billion, the first sequential increase since fiscal 2024, with deliveries extending into fiscal 2028.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 26 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q4 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $192,604 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Glenn WilliamSale
13 Jul 2026, SVP & President, Europe
- Shares
- 4,000
- Price
- $48.15
- Value
- $192,604
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Greenbrier Companies
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1018 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 50
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Railroads
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Stadler RailSRAIL.SW $3.79B60
- Construcciones y Auxiliar de FerrocarrilesCAF.MC $2.62B65
- Trinity IndustriesTRN $2.36B56
- Jungfraubahn HoldingJFN.SW $1.85B67
- VosslohVOS.DE $1.06B41
- L.B. FosterFSTR $453.74M63
- BVZ HoldingBVZN.SW $359.92M59
- TalgoTLGO.MC $325.35M32
ETFs that hold Greenbrier Companies
Held by 13 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.12% | 0.39% | €1.49B |
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.08% | 0.30% | €2.31B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.05% | 0.30% | €964.08M |
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| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.04% | 0.30% | €2.22B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.04% | 0.30% | €4.28B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.03% | 0.43% | €2.5B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.03% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.02% | 0.10% | €395.74M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Aug 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.