TAL Education Group stock
TALNYSEConsumer DefensiveISIN US8740801043
60Score 60 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
56 / 100
Price history
−15% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 16 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 8.9% below it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 39).
The price is 22% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 16 years: 98% (February 2021 to March 2022).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$11.46
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$11.06
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)39
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$8.95
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$12.86
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- TAL Education Group belongs to the Education & Training Services industry (China) and, with a market value of $6.13B, is number 2 of 18 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- This is an American depositary receipt (ADR).
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $3.02B (up 34.2% year on year) and earnings of $532.73M (up 529.8%).
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- MEQIRI Score 60 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 178 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
- The P/E is 8 (Education & Training Services median 13.5, own median of recent years 6.7).
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 30.6% in fiscal 2026, Education & Training Services median 9%.Profitability 75
- More cash than debtCash $2.97B, financial debt $416.87M.Stability 80
- High marginNet margin 22.1% over the last 12 months, Education & Training Services median 8.6%.Profitability 75
Weaknesses
- Revenue shrinkingRevenue down 7.7% a year since 2021.Growth 24
Its standout strengths are valuation and stability, while momentum and growth hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
What lowers it
- low growth grade (crashed less often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapA fair value is not meaningful here, so the signal follows the valuation grade.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but weak growth.
Valuation metrics
The model puts the fair value at more than four times the share price. That says more about the assumptions than about the company, so a fair value is not meaningful here and the valuation relies on the P/E and the other metrics.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 31 Aug 2026, revenue rose 25.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2008, at around 38% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 55%, operating 9%, net 18%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 4 Feb 2027in 84 days
- Last reported
- 29 Oct 2026below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 19.7% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- 1.14−19.7%
- Revenue
- $3.58B−4.5%
- Earnings per share
- 1.23+0.1%
- Revenue
- $4.11B−6.8%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: −1.9%TAL expects overall revenue growth to moderate further as the Learning Device business continues to face industry headwinds, though it expects fiscal 2027 operating margin to improve versus fiscal 2026.
“Looking ahead, we expect our overall revenue growth to moderate as our business grows in scale and our Learning Device business continues to face industry headwinds.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q2 2027), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $368,430 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Peng Alex ZhuangzhuangSale
3 Aug 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 30,000
- Price
- $12.28
- Value
- $368,430
Shares and prices per ordinary share as filed with the SEC, not per depositary receipt.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at TAL Education Group
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 60
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Education & Training Services
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- New Oriental Education & Technology GroupEDU $8.18B65
- Laureate EducationLAUR $4.83B72
- CovistaCVSA $3.98B74
- StrideLRN $3.24B74
- Grand Canyon EducationLOPE $3B69
- YoudaoDAO $2.32B48
- McGraw HillMH $2.1B50
- Perdoceo EducationPRDO $1.79B68
ETFs that hold TAL Education Group
Held by 52 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| UBS MSCI China Universal UCITS ETF USD disUETC | 0.23% | 0.30% | €134.65M |
| Amundi MSCI China ESG Selection Extra UCITS ETF AccLCHI | 0.21% | 0.65% | €473.19M |
| Deka MSCI China ex A Shares UCITS ETFEL46 | 0.17% | 0.65% | €74.12M |
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| iShares MSCI EM Consumer Growth UCITS ETFCEMG | 0.16% | 0.60% | €31.52M |
| Franklin FTSE China UCITS ETFFLXC | 0.13% | 0.19% | €1.3B |
| HSBC MSCI China UCITS ETFH4ZP | 0.12% | 0.28% | €865.21M |
| UBS MSCI EM Socially Responsible UCITS ETF USD accUETE | 0.10% | 0.24% | €2.81B |
| Deka MSCI Emerging Markets UCITS ETFEL40 | 0.10% | 0.40% | €297.2M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 28 Feb 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 26 Jun 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.