Grand Canyon Education stock
LOPENASDAQGrand Canyon Education, Inc., Consumer DefensiveISIN US38526M1062
69Score 69 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
24 / 100
Price history
−30% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 18 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 24% below it.
Since December 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 9).
The price is 35% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 18 years: 55% (August 2019 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$150.76
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$155.56
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)9
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$116.16
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$180.48
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Grand Canyon Education, Inc. belongs to the Education & Training Services industry (United States) and, with a market value of $3B, is number 6 of 18 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.11B (up 7.1% year on year) and earnings of $216.17M (down 4.4%).
- MEQIRI Score 69 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 80 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
Show more
- The P/E is 12.1 (Education & Training Services median 13.5, own median of recent years 18.9).
- Our model puts fair value at $199.63, with the price 41% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Share buybacksShare count down 41% since 2020.Capital allocation 91
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 38.6% in fiscal 2025, Education & Training Services median 9%.Profitability 93
- Below fair valuePrice 41% below the fair value of $199.63.Valuation 85
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and profitability, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak momentum
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak chart
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $142.59 and expensive above $332.71 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $268.09 (cash-flow model) and $131.16 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $176.75, at 7.8% it would be $233.99.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (13.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 5.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 15% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 53%, operating 27%, net 20%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 17 Feb 2027in 97 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported $1.77 (expected $1.77)in line with expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $10.210.0%
- Revenue
- $1.17B0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $11.310.0%
- Revenue
- $1.24B0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −8.8%2026 guidance updated to include the second quarter revenue and earnings beat; revenue will fall by $4 million and $6 million in the third and fourth quarters because of the amended service agreement.
“On a more detailed basis, including current trends, revenue is expected to decrease by $4 million and $6 million in the third and fourth quarters of 2026, respectively, due to the amended and restated MSA while instructional cost and services will be reduced by $3 million and $5 million in the third and fourth …”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 30 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Grand Canyon Education
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 69
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Education & Training Services
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- TAL Education GroupTAL $6.13B60
- Laureate EducationLAUR $4.83B72
- CovistaCVSA $3.98B74
- StrideLRN $3.24B74
- YoudaoDAO $2.32B48
- McGraw HillMH $2.1B50
- Perdoceo EducationPRDO $1.79B68
- Universal Technical InstituteUTI $1.27B47
ETFs that hold Grand Canyon Education
Held by 12 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.12% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.09% | 0.30% | €5.27B |
| Invesco Global Buyback Achievers UCITS ETFBBCK | 0.06% | 0.39% | €188.08M |
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| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.04% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.04% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.01% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.01% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.01% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 6 Nov 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.