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Savers Value Village stock

SVVNYSE

Savers Value Village, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US80517M1099

$10.09▲ $0.18 (+1.8%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

64Score 64 out of 100, Neutral

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Price and trend

81 / 100

Price history

+22% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 3 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 7.5% above it.

Trend change

Since July 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 56).

Distance to the high

The price is 18% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 3 years: 75% (August 2023 to March 2025).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$9.53
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$9.39
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)56
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$7.10
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$12.29
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$1.52B
Div. yield
no dividend
25.4
16.9
on earnings for the next twelve months ($0.59 per share)
Fair value
$11.91

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Savers Value Village, Inc. belongs to the Specialty Retail industry (United States) and, with a market value of $1.55B, is number 56 of 86 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.68B (up 9.2% year on year) and earnings of $22.64M (down 22%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.78B (up 6.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.49 (up 9.6%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 64 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 268 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
  • The P/E is 25.8 (Specialty Retail median 23, own median of recent years 57.3).
  • Our model puts fair value at $11.91, with the price 17% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 189% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 78
  • Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 19.5% a year through 2029 (estimates from 7 analysts).Growth 76

Weaknesses

  • Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.6 times.Stability 26
  • High debtDebt 1.6 times equity (latest quarter), Specialty Retail median 1.02.Stability 26
  • Volatile share priceVolatility 50% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 26
64/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are momentum and technical analysis, while capital allocation and stability hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency86% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)189%
ROIC (12 months)5.9%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals
  • price near its 52-week high

Valuation

Valuation signal

Modestly undervalued
Price
$9.91
Fair value
$11.91
Gap to fair value
−17%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $8.51 and expensive above $19.85 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $14.83 (cash-flow model) and $8.98 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.4%. At 10.4% the fair value would be $10.75, at 8.4% it would be $13.56.

Valuation metrics

1.3
9
Fair value (model)
$11.91
Earnings part $8.98 (earnings per share $0.39 × 23)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (23).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

7 years

In the twelve months to 3 Oct 2026, revenue rose 10.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2019, at about 6% per year.

Margins

7 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 79%, operating 7%, net 1%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
1.6
1.6x
0.67
Cash & equivalents
$60.15M

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
18 Feb 2027in 98 days
Last reported
5 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.16 (expected $0.15)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20279 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.49−0.5%
Revenue
$1.78B0.0%
Fiscal 20288 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.60−0.6%
Revenue
$1.92B0.0%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: +12.1%

2026 net sales outlook updated to $1.77 billion to $1.79 billion, with the low end raised and the midpoint increased.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We now expect net sales of $1.77 billion-$1.79 billion.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 6 insiders sold, $479.19M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Allen William TSale

    16 Sept 2026, Board

    Shares
    26,151
    Price
    $9.22
    Value
    $241,170
  • Ares Management LlcSale

    13 Aug 2026, Major holder

    Shares
    23,000,000
    Price
    $10.25
    Value
    $235.75M
  • Ares Management LlcSale

    13 Aug 2026, Major holder

    Shares
    23,000,000
    Price
    $10.25
    Value
    $235.75M
Show 15 more
  • Walsh Mark T.Sale

    11 Aug 2026, CEO & Director

    Shares
    92,059
    Price
    $11.93
    Value
    $1.1M
  • Walsh Mark T.Sale

    10 Aug 2026, CEO & Director

    Shares
    100,000
    Price
    $12.20
    Value
    $1.22M
  • Medway Richard A.Sale

    7 Aug 2026, General Counsel

    Shares
    45,000
    Price
    $11.98
    Value
    $539,100
  • Geisser Melinda L.Sale

    7 Aug 2026, Chief People Services Officer

    Shares
    50,000
    Price
    $12.03
    Value
    $601,500
  • Maher Michael WSale

    7 Aug 2026, CFO & Treasurer

    Shares
    49,742
    Price
    $12.33
    Value
    $613,418
  • Walsh Mark T.Sale

    7 Aug 2026, CEO & Director

    Shares
    100,000
    Price
    $12.20
    Value
    $1.22M
  • Walsh Mark T.Sale

    6 Aug 2026, CEO & Director

    Shares
    100,000
    Price
    $10.93
    Value
    $1.09M
  • Medway Richard A.Sale

    5 Aug 2026, General Counsel

    Shares
    10,000
    Price
    $10.98
    Value
    $109,800
  • Geisser Melinda L.Sale

    5 Aug 2026, Chief People Services Officer

    Shares
    15,000
    Price
    $10.98
    Value
    $164,700
  • Walsh Mark T.Sale

    5 Aug 2026, CEO & Director

    Shares
    7,941
    Price
    $11.02
    Value
    $87,548
  • Medway Richard A.Sale

    3 Aug 2026, General Counsel

    Shares
    10,000
    Price
    $10.48
    Value
    $104,800
  • Geisser Melinda L.Sale

    3 Aug 2026, Chief People Services Officer

    Shares
    14,059
    Price
    $10.48
    Value
    $147,338
  • Walsh Mark T.Sale

    18 Jun 2026, CEO & Director

    Shares
    41,600
    Price
    $10.08
    Value
    $419,199
  • Walsh Mark T.Sale

    17 Jun 2026, CEO & Director

    Shares
    300
    Price
    $10.00
    Value
    $3,000
  • Walsh Mark T.Sale

    16 Jun 2026, CEO & Director

    Shares
    3,100
    Price
    $10.15
    Value
    $31,465

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Savers Value Village

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical

Rank 268 of 602
268/ 602
This company
64
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 602 companies48 (median 53)5 below the median
GrowthMedian of 602 companies76 (median 60)16 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 602 companies78 (median 73)5 above the median
ValuationMedian of 580 companies with a value69 (median 72)3 below the median
StabilityMedian of 602 companies26 (median 62)36 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 602 companies47 (median 58)11 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 602 companies81 (median 63)18 above the median
MomentumMedian of 602 companies84 (median 62)22 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Specialty Retail

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 86 Specialty Retail stocks

ETFs that hold Savers Value Village

Held by 8 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 4 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 3 Jan 2026
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 25 Sep 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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