Sprouts Farmers Market stock
SFMNASDAQSprouts Farmers Market, Inc., Consumer DefensiveISIN US85208M1027
60Score 60 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
27 / 100
Price history
−35% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 13 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 33% below it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 28).
The price is 44% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 13 years: 73% (June 2025 to October 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$64.61
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$75.40
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)28
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$48.00
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$90.02
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. belongs to the Grocery Stores industry (United States) and, with a market value of $4.66B, is number 18 of 27 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $8.81B (up 14.1% year on year) and earnings of $523.67M (up 37.6%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $9.34B (up 6.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $5.02 (down 5.3%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 60 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 177 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
- The P/E is 9.5 (Grocery Stores median 19.6, own median of recent years 17.2).
- Our model puts fair value at $76.97, with the price 34% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Modestly valuedP/E 9.5, Grocery Stores median 19.6, own median 17.2.Valuation 91
- Share buybacksShare count down 17% since 2020.Capital allocation 81
- Below fair valuePrice 34% below the fair value of $76.97.Valuation 91
Weaknesses
- Share price fell sharplyDown 36% over the last 12 months.Momentum 12
- Volatile share priceVolatility 50% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 55
Its standout strengths are valuation and fundamentals, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak momentum
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $54.98 and expensive above $128.28 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $50.27 (cash-flow model) and $103.67 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $73.21, at 7.8% it would be $82.57.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (19.6).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 27 Sep 2026, revenue rose 5.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2010, at around 21% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 37%, operating 8%, net 6%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterMeaningfully leveraged, but the interest bill is comfortably covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 18 Feb 2027in 98 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.21 (expected $1.23)in line with expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 26.5% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $5.02−9.6%
- Revenue
- $9.34B−1.5%
- Earnings per share
- $4.38−26.5%
- Revenue
- $9.77B−4.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: −25.5%Sprouts lowered its 2026 outlook: full year sales growth now about 4.3% and comparable store sales about negative 1.7%, with diluted EPS around $4.80 instead of higher; for Q4 it now expects comparable sales of negative 2% to negative 4% and much lower EPS of $0.47 to $0.51.
“For the fourth quarter, we expect comparable store sales to be between negative 2% to negative 4% and diluted earnings per share to be between $0.47 and $0.51.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 28 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 4 insiders sold, $11.19M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Sinclair JackSale
5 Nov 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 10,788
- Price
- $51.79
- Value
- $558,721
- Sinclair JackSale
4 Nov 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 10,788
- Price
- $54.14
- Value
- $584,053
- Sinclair JackSale
5 Oct 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 10,788
- Price
- $64.48
- Value
- $695,562
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- Sinclair JackSale
2 Oct 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 10,788
- Price
- $64.77
- Value
- $698,724
- Hamilton DustinSale
8 Sept 2026, Chief Stores Officer
- Shares
- 292
- Price
- $80.36
- Value
- $23,466
- Sinclair JackSale
2 Sept 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 10,788
- Price
- $78.25
- Value
- $844,108
- Sinclair JackSale
1 Sept 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 10,788
- Price
- $82.66
- Value
- $891,700
- O'Leary Joseph DSale
14 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 2,597
- Price
- $82.57
- Value
- $214,440
- Sinclair JackSale
4 Aug 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 10,788
- Price
- $86.80
- Value
- $936,364
- Sinclair JackSale
3 Aug 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 10,788
- Price
- $89.34
- Value
- $963,757
- Sinclair JackSale
7 Jul 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 10,788
- Price
- $84.87
- Value
- $915,595
- Sinclair JackSale
6 Jul 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 10,788
- Price
- $87.41
- Value
- $942,964
- Konat NicholasSale
11 Jun 2026, President & COO
- Shares
- 12,538
- Price
- $87.90
- Value
- $1.1M
- Sinclair JackSale
8 Jun 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 10,788
- Price
- $86.92
- Value
- $937,690
- Sinclair JackSale
5 Jun 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 10,790
- Price
- $82.04
- Value
- $885,258
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Sprouts Farmers Market
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 60
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Grocery Stores
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- President Chain Store2912.TW $6.76B53
- Albertsons CompaniesACI $6.12B42
- AxfoodAXFO.ST $6.08B61
- Colruyt GroupCOLR.BR $4.92B60
- Weis MarketsWMK $2B60
- Ingles MarketsIMKTA $1.6B53
- Grocery Outlet HoldingGO $1.3B46
- YeswayYSWY $799.91M46
ETFs that hold Sprouts Farmers Market
Held by 11 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.24% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.14% | 0.30% | €5.27B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.13% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
Show 5 more
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.12% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.07% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.05% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.01% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
| Vanguard ESG Global All Cap UCITS ETF (USD) AccumulatingV3AA | 0.01% | 0.24% | €1.69B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 28 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 21 Aug 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.