Axfood stock
AXFO.STSTOAxfood AB (publ), Consumer DefensiveISIN SE0006993770
61Score 61 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
61 / 100
Price history
+4.7% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 0.6% above it.
Since June 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 51).
The price is 17% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 52% (March 2007 to October 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$26.44
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$27.91
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)51
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$22.91
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$34.03
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Axfood AB (publ) belongs to the Grocery Stores industry (Sweden) and, with a market value of $6.06B, is number 16 of 27 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $8.98B (up 6.1% year on year) and earnings of $235.41M (up 6.7%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $9.18B (up 2.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.18 (up 8.5%).
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- MEQIRI Score 61 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 165 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
- The P/E is 24.5 (Grocery Stores median 19.6, own median of recent years 24).
- Our model puts fair value at $25.87, with the price 9% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 199% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 90
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 17 years.Capital allocation 60
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 90
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 2.07 times equity (latest quarter), Grocery Stores median 1.36.Stability 48
Its standout strength is fundamentals, while stability holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 62 to 61.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 14 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $19.90 and expensive above $36.95 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $29.32 (cash-flow model) and $22.42 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.2%. At 8.2% the fair value would be $23.70, at 6.2% it would be $29.09.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (19.6).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 2.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 6% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 15%, operating 3%, net 3%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 28 Jan 2027in 77 days
- Last reported
- 22 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.35 (expected $0.34)in line with expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $1.18+0.4%
- Revenue
- $9.18B−0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $1.32+0.6%
- Revenue
- $9.59B0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −14.5%Outlook for the year is unchanged (investments, new store establishments and items affecting comparability).
“Our outlook for the year is unchanged, it covers investments, new store establishments, and items affecting comparability.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 15 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
What happened at Axfood
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 61
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Grocery Stores
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Zabka GroupZAB.WA $8.01B76
- EmpireEMP-A.TO $7.93B57
- President Chain Store2912.TW $6.76B53
- Albertsons CompaniesACI $6.12B42
- Colruyt GroupCOLR.BR $4.92B60
- Sprouts Farmers MarketSFM $4.66B60
- Weis MarketsWMK $2B60
- Ingles MarketsIMKTA $1.6B53
ETFs that hold Axfood
Held by 40 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| UBS S&P Dividend Aristocrats ESG Elite UCITS ETF USD disUBUM | 0.61% | 0.30% | €237.98M |
| iShares STOXX Europe Small 200 UCITS ETF (DE)EXSE | 0.40% | 0.20% | €632.25M |
| iShares OMX Stockholm Capped UCITS ETFOM3X | 0.36% | 0.10% | €197.05M |
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| Ossiam STOXX Europe 600 Equal Weight NR UCITS ETFOSX6 | 0.22% | 0.30% | €215.59M |
| Amundi MSCI Europe Small Cap ESG Broad Transition UCITS ETF DistX026 | 0.21% | 0.23% | €319.31M |
| Xtrackers MSCI Europe Small Cap UCITS ETF 1CXXSC | 0.18% | 0.30% | €3.43B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI Europe Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETF EUR AccZPRX | 0.15% | 0.30% | €810.11M |
| iShares STOXX Europe Equity Multifactor UCITS ETFIBC0 | 0.07% | 0.25% | €653.86M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = SEK 9.9317)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Sep 2022)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.