Redwood Trust stock
RWTNYSERedwood Trust, Inc., Real EstateISIN US7580754023
33Score 33 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
39 / 100
Price history
−46% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 42% below it.
Since May 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 34).
The price is 57% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 96% (February 2007 to April 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$3.46
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$4.88
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)34
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$2.85
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$6.68
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Redwood Trust, Inc. belongs to the REIT (Mortgage) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $357.99M, is number 18 of 19 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.11B (up 2.2% year on year) and a loss of $70.03M.
- MEQIRI Score 33 out of 100 (Weak): rank 315 of 327 in Real Estate, median 55.
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- For real estate investment trusts (REITs) what counts is funds from operations (FFO and AFFO). The P/E and the payout ratio of earnings say little here, because depreciation on properties depresses earnings.
- Our model puts fair value at $6.56, with the price 55% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
None of our strength checks applies.
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 29.41 times equity (latest quarter), REIT (Mortgage) median 7.57.Stability 18
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1 times.Stability 18
- Dividend at riskDividend yield 24.3%. At yields this high (15% or more), the dividend was cut by at least a fifth within a year in 69 of 100 cases from 2011 to 2025, against 7 of 100 at 2 to 4%.Capital allocation 21
Its standout strength is valuation, while stability and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak momentum
What lowers it
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $4.68 and expensive above $10.93 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, high risk, weak balance sheet.
Valuation metrics
For mortgage REITs the fair value is book value per share: equity excluding preferred stock from the latest balance sheet, divided by the shares on the same date. The signal therefore assumes at least high uncertainty.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 4.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue swung sharply, with 1 of 19 years negative. From 2007 revenue is reported differently (for example gross instead of net), so earlier years are not comparable and not shown.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 96%, operating 95%, net −6%. From 2007 revenue is reported differently (for example gross instead of net), so earlier years are not comparable and not shown.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 10 Feb 2027in 89 days
- Last reported
- 3 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.18 (expected $0.21)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $0.91−1.6%
- Revenue
- $335.05M+7.5%
- Earnings per share
- $0.99−0.1%
- Revenue
- $373.48M−3.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
6 insiders bought on the open market between 15 Sept 2026 and 21 Sept 2026, $968,840 in total.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Redwood Trust
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
327 rated companies in Real Estate
- This company
- 33
- Sector median
- 55
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in REIT (Mortgage)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- MFA FinancialMFA $590.13M42
- Chimera InvestmentCIM $566.73M37
- Invesco Mortgage CapitalIVR $536.36M40
- TPG RE Finance TrustTRTX $503.49M52
- Franklin BSP Realty TrustFBRT $484.87M52
- Adamas TrustADAM $481.32M37
- BrightSpire CapitalBRSP $400.21M41
- KKR Real Estate Finance TrustKREF $318.72M32
ETFs that hold Redwood Trust
Held by 10 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global X Superdividend UCITS ETF USDUDIV | 0.52% | 0.45% | €842.65M |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.01% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.01% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
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| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.01% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.01% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| Invesco Global Buyback Achievers UCITS ETFBBCK | 0.01% | 0.39% | €188.08M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.00% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.00% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Jun 2022)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.