BrightSpire Capital stock
BRSPNYSEBrightSpire Capital, Inc., Real EstateISIN US10949T1097
41Score 41 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
30 / 100
Price history
−42% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 9 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 39% below it.
Since July 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 31).
The price is 49% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 9 years: 88% (September 2018 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$3.87
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$5.13
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)31
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$3.12
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$6.14
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- BrightSpire Capital, Inc. belongs to the REIT (Mortgage) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $388.99M, is number 17 of 19 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $204.33M (down 36.2% year on year) and a loss of $31.15M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $346.18M (up 69.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.53 (down 18.7%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 41 out of 100 (Weak): rank 284 of 327 in Real Estate, median 55.
- The P/E is 22.3 (REIT (Mortgage) median 13.5, own median of recent years 17.8).
- For real estate investment trusts (REITs) what counts is funds from operations (FFO and AFFO). The P/E and the payout ratio of earnings say little here, because depreciation on properties depresses earnings.
- Our model puts fair value at $7.08, with the price 55% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 368% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 53
Weaknesses
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 0.6 times.Stability 46
- Margin may fall backOperating margin 64.1%, average of the prior years 5.2%, which ranged from −16.2% to 34.3%. After peaks like this, the margin was more than a quarter lower two years later in 44 of 100 cases, against 24 of 100 for other companies with high margins.Profitability 44
- Dividend at riskDividend yield 19.9%. At yields this high (15% or more), the dividend was cut by at least a fifth within a year in 69 of 100 cases from 2011 to 2025, against 7 of 100 at 2 to 4%.Capital allocation 55
Its standout strength is valuation, while growth and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak momentum
What lowers it
- price not overheated over the past year
- low growth grade (crashed less often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $5.06 and expensive above $11.80 (uncertainty high, mortgage REIT, the fair value is book value alone).
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, weak growth.
Valuation metrics
For mortgage REITs the fair value is book value per share: equity excluding preferred stock from the latest balance sheet, divided by the shares on the same date. The signal therefore assumes at least high uncertainty.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 21.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2015, at about 8% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 81%, operating 64%, net −15%. Last 12 months: net 10%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 16 Feb 2027in 96 days
- Last reported
- 27 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.14 (expected $0.13)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 6.8% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $0.53−5.1%
- Revenue
- $346.18M+3.1%
- Earnings per share
- $0.60−6.8%
- Revenue
- $360.55M+7.9%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: −5.1%BrightSpire expects loan portfolio growth to moderate in the near term due to rate volatility, the upcoming elections and seasonality, and dividend coverage is not expected to improve much in the fourth quarter.
“While our pipeline continues to be robust, we anticipate the current interest rate volatility the upcoming elections, and seasonality will contribute to moderated transaction activity.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 28 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at BrightSpire Capital
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
327 rated companies in Real Estate
- This company
- 41
- Sector median
- 55
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in REIT (Mortgage)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- MFA FinancialMFA $590.13M42
- Chimera InvestmentCIM $566.73M37
- Invesco Mortgage CapitalIVR $536.36M40
- TPG RE Finance TrustTRTX $503.49M52
- Franklin BSP Realty TrustFBRT $484.87M52
- Adamas TrustADAM $481.32M37
- Redwood TrustRWT $371.81M33
- KKR Real Estate Finance TrustKREF $318.72M32
ETFs that hold BrightSpire Capital
Held by 9 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global X Superdividend UCITS ETF USDUDIV | 0.65% | 0.45% | €842.65M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.02% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.01% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
Show 5 more
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.01% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.01% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.00% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.00% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI All Country World Investable Market UCITS ETF (Acc)SPYI | 0.00% | 0.17% | €8.6B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Mar 2023)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.