Invesco Mortgage Capital stock
IVRNYSEInvesco Mortgage Capital Inc., Real EstateISIN US46131B7047
40Score 40 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
35 / 100
Price history
−36% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 17 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 33% below it.
Since June 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 25).
The price is 47% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 17 years: 98% (March 2011 to November 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$5.92
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$7.50
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)25
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$4.99
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$9.41
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. belongs to the REIT (Mortgage) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $518.69M, is number 13 of 19 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $339.7M (up 3.2% year on year) and earnings of $101.29M (up 69.2%).
- MEQIRI Score 40 out of 100 (Weak): rank 292 of 327 in Real Estate, median 55.
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- For real estate investment trusts (REITs) what counts is funds from operations (FFO and AFFO). The P/E and the payout ratio of earnings say little here, because depreciation on properties depresses earnings.
- Our model puts fair value at $6.79, with the price 24% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 155% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 59
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 282% since 2020.Capital allocation 19
- Analysts expect falling earningsDown 11.8% a year through 2027 (estimates from 3 analysts).Growth 45
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.5 times.Stability 29
Its standout strength is valuation, while capital allocation and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak momentum
What lowers it
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $4.85 and expensive above $11.32 (uncertainty high, mortgage REIT, the fair value is book value alone).
Valuation metrics
For mortgage REITs the fair value is book value per share: equity excluding preferred stock from the latest balance sheet, divided by the shares on the same date. The signal therefore assumes at least high uncertainty.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the quarter to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 86.4% on the same quarter a year earlier. Revenue swung sharply, with 3 of 17 years negative.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 35%, operating 30%, net 30%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 4 Feb 2027in 83 days
- Last reported
- 29 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.47 (expected $0.46)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 4.4% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $1.93−0.9%
- Revenue
- $204.45M−5.2%
- Earnings per share
- $1.66−4.4%
- Revenue
- $221.18M−5.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Invesco Mortgage Capital
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
327 rated companies in Real Estate
- This company
- 40
- Sector median
- 55
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in REIT (Mortgage)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Orchid Island CapitalORC $926.36M45
- PennyMac Mortgage Investment TrustPMT $650.53M42
- MFA FinancialMFA $590.13M42
- Chimera InvestmentCIM $566.73M37
- TPG RE Finance TrustTRTX $503.49M52
- Franklin BSP Realty TrustFBRT $484.87M52
- Adamas TrustADAM $481.32M37
- BrightSpire CapitalBRSP $400.21M41
ETFs that hold Invesco Mortgage Capital
Held by 4 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global X Superdividend UCITS ETF USDUDIV | 0.70% | 0.45% | €842.65M |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.02% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.02% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
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| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.01% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 4 Sep 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.