Outokumpu stock
OUT1V.HEHELOutokumpu Oyj, Basic MaterialsISIN FI0009002422
35Score 35 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
27 / 100
Price history
−3.4% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 29% below it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 26).
The price is 40% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 97% (May 2008 to September 2015).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$5.50
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$5.86
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)26
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$4.08
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$6.90
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Outokumpu Oyj belongs to the Steel industry (Finland) and, with a market value of $1.96B, is number 35 of 43 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $6.08B (down 8% year on year) and a loss of $152.44M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $6.82B (up 12.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.21.
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- MEQIRI Score 35 out of 100 (Weak): rank 420 of 467 in Basic Materials, median 58.
- Our model puts fair value at $8.86, with the price 53% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 3.44%, Steel median 1.78%.
Weaknesses
- Dividend not coveredPayouts over the last 12 months were 856% of earnings and 141% of free cash flow.Capital allocation 26
- Loss-makingLoss of $90.13M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 31
Its standout strength is valuation, while capital allocation and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
- price far below its 52-week high
- high price swings
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $6.33 and expensive above $14.77 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $7.58, at 7.8% it would be $10.66.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, weak balance sheet.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue fell 7.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has changed sharply in recent years: $6.08B in 2025 after $10.56B in 2022.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 3%, operating −1%, net −3%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is low, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 11 Feb 2027in 91 days
- Last reported
- 6 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.06 (expected $0.07)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 3.3% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $0.21−1.4%
- Revenue
- $6.82B−0.5%
- Earnings per share
- $0.52−3.3%
- Revenue
- $7.43B−0.8%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −0.7%Adjusted EBITDA is expected to improve in Q2 with stainless steel delivery volumes up 0% to 10% from Q1; capex guidance of EUR 200 million unchanged.
“So if we look at the outlook, Outokumpu's adjusted EBITDA improvement in the second quarter of '26 is expected to benefit mainly from the increasing stainless steel delivery volumes, which are forecast to rise by 0% to 10% from the first quarter of '26.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 12 May 2026 (fiscal Q1 2026), read by AI.
What happened at Outokumpu
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
467 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 35
- Sector median
- 58
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Steel
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- SalzgitterSZG.DE $3.09B47
- AperamAPAM.AS $2.82B51
- AlleimaALLEI.ST $2.42B62
- Worthington SteelWS $2.02B48
- Companhia Siderúrgica NacionalSID $1.1B33
- SunCoke EnergySXC $906.46M55
- MetallusMTUS $724.92M41
- Algoma Steel GroupASTL $608.61M40
ETFs that hold Outokumpu
Held by 16 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| UBS MSCI EMU Small Cap UCITS ETF EUR disUEFD | 0.35% | 0.28% | €627.81M |
| WisdomTree Europe SmallCap Dividend UCITS ETFWTES | 0.31% | 0.38% | €86.74M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI Europe Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETF EUR AccZPRX | 0.19% | 0.30% | €810.11M |
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| Xtrackers MSCI Europe Small Cap UCITS ETF 1CXXSC | 0.15% | 0.30% | €3.43B |
| Amundi MSCI EMU Small Cap ESG Broad Transition UCITS ETF DISTLGWU | 0.09% | 0.40% | €575.19M |
| Invesco RAFI Europe Fundamental Value UCITS ETF6PSC | 0.06% | 0.39% | €37.4M |
| UBS MSCI EMU Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF EUR accUIQN | 0.06% | 0.34% | €16.87M |
| Amundi MSCI Europe Small Cap ESG Broad Transition UCITS ETF DistX026 | 0.04% | 0.23% | €319.31M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.8987)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Apr 2024)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.