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Algoma Steel Group stock

ASTLNASDAQ

Algoma Steel Group Inc., Basic MaterialsISIN CA0156581070

$5.61▼ $0.15 (−2.6%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

40Score 40 out of 100, Weak

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

86 / 100

Price history

+43% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 6 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 25% above it.

Trend change

Since November 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 67).

Distance to the high

The price is 3.4% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 6 years: 75% (November 2021 to October 2025).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$4.56
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$4.48
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)67
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$3.28
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$5.81
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$592.76M
Div. yield
no dividend
Loss
Fair value
no data

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Algoma Steel Group Inc. belongs to the Steel industry (Canada) and, with a market value of $592.76M, is number 39 of 42 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $1.46B (up 22.3% year on year) and a loss of $691.22M.
  • MEQIRI Score 40 out of 100 (Weak): rank 390 of 461 in Basic Materials, median 57.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

None of our strength checks applies.

Weaknesses

  • Margin fallingOperating margin −37.3%, average of the prior years 6% (to 2025).Profitability 12
  • High debtDebt 4.78 times equity (latest quarter), Steel median 0.36.Stability 27
  • Loss-makingLoss of $526.15M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 17
40/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Weak

Its standout strengths are momentum and technical analysis, while fundamentals and profitability hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency40% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)not measured
ROIC (12 months)−48.8%
Positive free cash flow30% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Valuation

Valuation signal

not measured
Price
$5.61
Fair value
not meaningful
Gap to fair value
no data

A fair value is not meaningful here, so the signal follows the valuation grade.

Valuation metrics

no data
no data
Fair value (model)
no data

The model puts the fair value at less than a quarter of the share price. That says more about the assumptions than about the company, so a fair value is not meaningful here and the valuation relies on the P/E and the other metrics.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

10 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 42.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has changed sharply in recent years: $1.46B in 2026 after $1.96B in 2024.

Margins

10 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2026: gross −32%, operating −37%, net −47%. Last 12 months: net −59%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
4.78
−14.3x
2.53
Cash & equivalents
$106.96M

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
10 Mar 2027in 117 days
Last reported
28 Oct 2026EPS reported −0.84 (expected −0.49)below expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20271 analyst
Earnings per share
1.180.0%
Revenue
$2.22B+42.9%
Fiscal 20281 analyst
Earnings per share
1.520.0%
Revenue
$2.43B+42.9%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: −3.4%

Algoma expects fourth quarter shipments to rise 25% to 35% versus the third quarter and a substantial improvement in underlying EBITDA, as both EAF units are now producing after the turbine repair.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“With power restored and both EAF units now in our production schedule, we expect fourth quarter shipments to increase by approximately 25% to 35% versus the third quarter, with volumes weighted towards November and December as we ramp our second EAF unit.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Algoma Steel Group

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

461 rated companies in Basic Materials

Rank 390 of 461
390/ 461
This company
40
Sector median
57

Categories against the sector medianMedian of 461 companies

Profitability12 (median 49)37 below the median
Growth32 (median 54)22 below the median
Fundamentals17 (median 65)48 below the median
Stability27 (median 67)40 below the median
Capital allocation45 (median 52)7 below the median
Technical analysis86 (median 51)35 above the median
Momentum88 (median 50)38 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Steel

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 42 Steel stocks

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Mar 2026
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = CA$1.4249)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Aug 2024)
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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