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Alleima stock

ALLEI.STSTO

Alleima AB (publ), Basic MaterialsISIN SE0017615644

$9.58▼ $0.06 (−0.6%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

62Score 62 out of 100, Neutral

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Price and trend

56 / 100

Price history

+17% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 4 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 0.4% below it.

Trend change

Since November 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 25).

Distance to the high

The price is 22% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 4 years: 31% (February 2025 to August 2025).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$10.96
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$9.62
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)25
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$7.27
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$12.27
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$2.4B
Div. yield
2.62%
12 months
23.1
includes one-off items, adjusted 22.9
17.9
on earnings for the next twelve months ($0.54 per share)
Fair value
$16.04

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Alleima AB (publ) belongs to the Steel industry (Sweden) and, with a market value of $2.4B, is number 33 of 42 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.87B (down 5.4% year on year) and earnings of $67.28M (down 45%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.85B (down 1.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.42.
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  • MEQIRI Score 62 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 168 of 461 in Basic Materials, median 57.
  • Our model puts fair value at $16.04, with the price 40% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Below fair valuePrice 40% below the fair value of $16.04.Valuation 94
  • More cash than debtCash $155.12M, financial debt $101.47M.Stability 75
  • Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 19.3% a year through 2028 (estimates from 5 analysts).Growth 55

Weaknesses

  • Margin fallingOperating margin 5.1%, average of the prior years 9.9% (to 2024).Profitability 40
62/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are valuation and stability, while profitability holds the score back.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)75%
ROIC (12 months)6.3%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
  • high price swings

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly undervalued
Price
$9.58
Fair value
$16.04
Gap to fair value
−40%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $12.33 and expensive above $22.91 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.2%. At 8.2% the fair value would be $13.10, at 6.2% it would be $20.46.

Valuation metrics

1.45
9.3
Fair value (model)
$16.04

From the cash-flow model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

7 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 5.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2019.

Margins

7 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 19%, operating 5%, net 4%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.06
4x
2.84
Cash & equivalents
$155.12M

Low debt, and interest is adequately covered.

Earnings

Next earnings
27 Jan 2027in 75 days
Last reported
26 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.05 (expected $0.07)below expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 13.0% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.

Fiscal 20265 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.42−13.0%
Revenue
$1.85B−1.8%
Fiscal 20275 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.55−5.9%
Revenue
$1.97B−2.3%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook lowered

Share price after the results: −16.8%

Alleima expects continued mixed market activity in Q4 with shorter backlogs in OCTG, industrial and chem-petrochem segments, leading to lower volumes and under absorption effects in Tube. Nuclear is also expected to see a negative impact in Q4 from the slower than planned production pace.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“While in other segments, are running shorter backlogs, for instance, in OCTG, also in industrial and in chem-petrochem, where we expect lower volumes and therefore, some under absorption effects in tube also in quarter 4.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 26 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.

What happened at Alleima

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

461 rated companies in Basic Materials

Rank 168 of 461
168/ 461
This company
62
Sector median
57

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 461 companies40 (median 49)9 below the median
GrowthMedian of 461 companies55 (median 54)1 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 461 companies74 (median 65)9 above the median
ValuationMedian of 421 companies with a value94 (median 69)25 above the median
StabilityMedian of 461 companies75 (median 67)8 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 461 companies52 (median 52)0 at the median
Technical analysisMedian of 461 companies56 (median 51)5 above the median
MomentumMedian of 461 companies63 (median 50)13 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Steel

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 42 Steel stocks

ETFs that hold Alleima

Held by 12 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = SEK 9.9729)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 21 Mar 2025)
  • Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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