NRG Energy stock
NRGNYSENRG Energy, Inc., UtilitiesISIN US6293775085
54Score 54 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
42 / 100
Price history
−40% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 27% below it.
Since April 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 53).
The price is 47% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 81% (October 2007 to January 2016).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$101.26
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$132.91
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)53
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$80.55
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$184.03
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- NRG Energy, Inc. belongs to the Independent Power Producers industry (United States) and, with a market value of $20.5B, is number 5 of 23 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $30.71B (up 9.2% year on year) and earnings of $864M (down 23.2%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $33.79B (up 10%) and adjusted earnings per share of $8.73 (up 7.2%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 54 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 100 of 201 in Utilities, median 54.
- The P/E is 17.2 (Utilities sector median 20.5, own median of recent years 17.6).
- Our model puts fair value at $61.83, with the price 58% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 27.6% a year since 2020, Utilities sector median 7.7%.Growth 76
- Share buybacksShare count down 20% since 2020.Capital allocation 77
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 10 years.Capital allocation 77
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 4.39 times equity (latest quarter), Independent Power Producers median 1.79.Stability 26
- Margin fallingOperating margin 6%, average of the prior years 8.6% (to 2024).Profitability 55
- Share price fell sharplyDown 42% over the last 12 months.Momentum 16
Its standout strengths are capital allocation and growth, while stability and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 53 to 54.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak momentum
What lowers it
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $44.17 and expensive above $103.06 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $7.40 (cash-flow model) and $116.26 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 12.8%. At 13.8% the fair value would be $61.36, at 11.8% it would be $62.43.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the sector P/E (20.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 17.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 9% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 22%, operating 6%, net 3%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 23 Feb 2027in 103 days
- Last reported
- 9 Nov 2026EPS reported $4.68 (expected $3.35)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 8.0% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $8.73−1.8%
- Revenue
- $33.79B−3.6%
- Earnings per share
- $10.19−8.0%
- Revenue
- $34.16B−3.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −12.8%2026 guidance reaffirmed; a new data center investment category reflects $721 million of expected project investment in 2026.
“The primary update is a new data center new build investment category, reflecting $721 million of expected project investment in 2026.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 4 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 2 insiders sold, $4.31M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at NRG Energy
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
201 rated companies in Utilities
- This company
- 54
- Sector median
- 54
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Independent Power Producers
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Constellation EnergyCEG $97.34B56
- VistraVST $44.79B58
- Adani PowerADANIPOWER.NS $42.81B66
- CGN Power003816.SZ $32.47B49
- Adani Energy SolutionsADANIENSOL.NS $18.5B65
- Talen EnergyTLN $18.04B42
- Power Assets Holdings0006.HK $17.9B65
- Huaneng Power International600011.SS $17.72B48
ETFs that hold NRG Energy
Held by 82 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Utilities Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDU | 1.49% | 0.15% | €164.72M |
| iShares S&P 500 Utilities Sector UCITS ETF2B7A | 1.48% | 0.15% | €1.04B |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Utilities UCITS ETF 1CXDWU | 0.73% | 0.25% | €890.44M |
Show 5 more
| Deka MSCI USA MC UCITS ETFEL41 | 0.25% | 0.30% | €51.58M |
| iShares MSCI USA Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETFQDVC | 0.23% | 0.20% | €268.74M |
| Xtrackers S&P 500 Equal Weight UCITS ETF 1CXDEW | 0.16% | 0.15% | €14.88B |
| First Trust US Large Cap Core AlphaDEX UCITS ETFFTGU | 0.15% | 0.75% | €140.24M |
| WisdomTree Global Quality Dividend Growth UCITS ETF USD AccWTEM | 0.13% | 0.38% | €1.5B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral since 10 Nov 2026, previously Weak
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 10 Nov 2026, previously Overvalued
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.