Talen Energy stock
TLNNASDAQTalen Energy Corporation, UtilitiesISIN US87422Q1094
43Score 43 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
70 / 100
Price history
+5.2% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 3 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 11% above it.
Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 67).
The price is 12% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 3 years: 37% (October 2025 to September 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$333.25
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$348.70
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)67
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$282.15
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$438.12
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Talen Energy Corporation belongs to the Independent Power Producers industry (United States) and, with a market value of $18.42B, is number 7 of 23 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.63B (up 26.7% year on year) and a loss of $219M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $4.46B (up 69.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of $16.59.
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- MEQIRI Score 43 out of 100 (Weak): rank 180 of 201 in Utilities, median 53.
- Our model puts fair value at $704.04, with the price 45% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
None of our strength checks applies.
Weaknesses
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 0.5 times.Stability 18
- High debtDebt 5.97 times equity (latest quarter), Independent Power Producers median 1.79.Stability 18
- Loss-makingLoss of $254M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 27
Its standout strengths are valuation and technical analysis, while profitability and stability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 42 to 43.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
What lowers it
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapIn our model the price counts as cheap below $502.88 and expensive above $1,173.40 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 11.1%. At 12.1% the fair value would be $615.92, at 10.1% it would be $820.58.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, high risk, weak balance sheet.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 74.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2021, at about 10% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 38%, operating 1%, net −8%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 25 Feb 2027in 104 days
- Last reported
- 3 Nov 2026EPS reported $2.88 (expected $8.33)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 19.0% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $16.59−19.0%
- Revenue
- $4.46B+0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $29.76−3.3%
- Revenue
- $5.19B+0.5%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −0.5%2026 guidance ranges raised now that the acquisition has closed, with 2028 free cash flow per share including buybacks now at $48.
“When accounting for buybacks, we forecast 2027 cash flow at approximately $37 a share and 2028 now at $48 a share. Over 14% free cash flow yield on 2028 cash flows at current share price levels.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 5 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $988,000 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Abbas Gizman ISale
15 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 2,600
- Price
- $380.00
- Value
- $988,000
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Talen Energy
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
201 rated companies in Utilities
- This company
- 43
- Sector median
- 53
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Independent Power Producers
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Adani PowerADANIPOWER.NS $42.61B65
- CGN Power003816.SZ $32.74B49
- NRG EnergyNRG $20.59B54
- Adani Energy SolutionsADANIENSOL.NS $18.64B65
- Huaneng Power International600011.SS $17.96B48
- Power Assets Holdings0006.HK $17.62B65
- China Resources Power Holdings0836.HK $13.41B56
- Datang International Power Generation601991.SS $12.88B40
ETFs that hold Talen Energy
Held by 8 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Invesco NASDAQ Next Generation 100 UCITS ETF AccEQQJ | 0.88% | 0.25% | €45.16M |
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.42% | 0.30% | €5.36B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.14% | 0.45% | €1.54B |
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| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.03% | 0.25% | €178.55M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.03% | 0.30% | €964.08M |
| Vanguard FTSE Global All-Cap UCITS ETF Accum USDVGLA | 0.02% | 0.07% | €3.9B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI All Country World Investable Market UCITS ETF (Acc)SPYI | 0.01% | 0.17% | €8.84B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 27 Feb 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.