Annaly Capital Management stock
NLYNYSEAnnaly Capital Management, Inc., Real EstateISIN US0357108390
49Score 49 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
38 / 100
Price history
−19% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 19% below it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 39).
The price is 28% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 82% (February 2008 to October 2023).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$19.50
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$21.70
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)39
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$17.57
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$24.40
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Annaly Capital Management, Inc. belongs to the REIT (Mortgage) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $13.84B, is the largest of 19 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $6.7B (up 5.4% year on year) and earnings of $2.03B (up 102.3%).
- MEQIRI Score 49 out of 100 (Weak): rank 222 of 325 in Real Estate, median 55.
Show more
- For real estate investment trusts (REITs) what counts is funds from operations (FFO and AFFO). The P/E and the payout ratio of earnings say little here, because depreciation on properties depresses earnings.
- Our model puts fair value at $17.86, with the price 2% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 35.2% a year since 2020, REIT (Mortgage) median 21.4%.Growth 83
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 234% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 64
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 81% since 2020.Capital allocation 25
- Dividend at riskDividend yield 16.5%. At yields this high (15% or more), the dividend was cut by at least a fifth within a year in 69 of 100 cases from 2011 to 2025, against 7 of 100 at 2 to 4%.Capital allocation 25
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.4 times.Stability 30
Its standout strength is growth, while momentum and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 51 to 49.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $12.76 and expensive above $29.77 (uncertainty high, mortgage REIT, the fair value is book value alone).
Valuation metrics
For mortgage REITs the fair value is book value per share: equity excluding preferred stock from the latest balance sheet, divided by the shares on the same date. The signal therefore assumes at least high uncertainty.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 11% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 9% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 100%, operating 103%, net 30%. Last 12 months: net 15%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 27 Jan 2027in 75 days
- Last reported
- 20 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.80 (expected $0.77)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $3.13+1.2%
- Revenue
- $2.43B−3.8%
- Earnings per share
- $3.12+0.1%
- Revenue
- $2.88B+1.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −1.5%No guidance given, the company continues to see compelling opportunities in all three strategies and expects to earn the dividend over time.
“Finally, to touch on our outlook, we continue to see compelling opportunities across our three strategies underpinned by a healthy fixed income and housing finance investment environment.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 22 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $940,000 in total. One insider sold, $2.03M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Annaly Capital Management
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
325 rated companies in Real Estate
- This company
- 49
- Sector median
- 55
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in REIT (Mortgage)
The next smaller companies by market value
- AGNC InvestmentAGNC $10.45B40
- Starwood Property TrustSTWD $4.27B33
- Dynex CapitalDX $2.59B40
- Blackstone Mortgage TrustBXMT $1.8B38
- ARMOUR Residential REITARR $1.68B30
- Ellington FinancialEFC $1.43B55
- Ladder CapitalLADR $1.07B47
- Orchid Island CapitalORC $901.27M44
ETFs that hold Annaly Capital Management
Held by 72 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global X Superdividend UCITS ETF USDUDIV | 0.92% | 0.45% | €848.49M |
| First Trust US Large Cap Core AlphaDEX UCITS ETFFTGU | 0.44% | 0.75% | €142.73M |
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.42% | 0.30% | €5.36B |
Show 5 more
| iShares MSCI USA Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETFQDVC | 0.29% | 0.20% | €272.21M |
| iShares World Equity High Income Active UCITS ETF USDWINC | 0.25% | 0.35% | €955.74M |
| Deka MSCI USA MC UCITS ETFEL41 | 0.17% | 0.30% | €52.63M |
| Xtrackers MSCI USA Financials UCITS ETF 1DXUFN | 0.17% | 0.12% | €1.08B |
| Amundi MSCI World Climate Paris Aligned UCITS ETF AccPABW | 0.16% | 0.20% | €1.33B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak since 13 Nov 2026, previously Neutral
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.