AGNC Investment stock
AGNCNASDAQAGNC Investment Corp., Real EstateISIN US00123Q1040
40Score 40 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
30 / 100
Price history
−20% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 18 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 21% below it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 34).
The price is 33% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 18 years: 81% (September 2012 to October 2023).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$9.20
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$10.35
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)34
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$8.20
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$12.17
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- AGNC Investment Corp. belongs to the REIT (Mortgage) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $10.45B, is number 2 of 19 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.91B (down 60.8% year on year) and earnings of $1.67B (up 93.5%).
- MEQIRI Score 40 out of 100 (Weak): rank 284 of 325 in Real Estate, median 55.
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- For real estate investment trusts (REITs) what counts is funds from operations (FFO and AFFO). The P/E and the payout ratio of earnings say little here, because depreciation on properties depresses earnings.
- Our model puts fair value at $7.99, with the price 3% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow above 500% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 67
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 41.2% a year since 2020, REIT (Mortgage) median 21.4%.Growth 60
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 85% since 2020.Capital allocation 24
- Margin may fall backOperating margin 236.3%, average of the prior years 79.6%, which ranged from −17.1% to 257.3%. After peaks like this, the margin was more than a quarter lower two years later in 44 of 100 cases, against 24 of 100 for other companies with high margins.Profitability 20
- Dividend at riskDividend yield 17.6%. At yields this high (15% or more), the dividend was cut by at least a fifth within a year in 69 of 100 cases from 2011 to 2025, against 7 of 100 at 2 to 4%.Capital allocation 24
The score is held back by capital allocation and profitability.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 41 to 40.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak momentum
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $5.71 and expensive above $13.32 (uncertainty high, mortgage REIT, the fair value is book value alone).
Valuation metrics
For mortgage REITs the fair value is book value per share: equity excluding preferred stock from the latest balance sheet, divided by the shares on the same date. The signal therefore assumes at least high uncertainty.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In fiscal 2025, revenue fell 60.8% on the prior year. Revenue swung sharply, with 1 of 18 years negative.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 100%, operating 236%, net 87%. Last 12 months: net 2%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 25 Jan 2027in 73 days
- Last reported
- 19 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.37 (expected $0.37)in line with expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 3.1% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $1.54−2.0%
- Revenue
- $4.46B+6.3%
- Earnings per share
- $1.44−3.1%
- Revenue
- $4.94B+11.9%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 2 insiders sold, $2.02M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at AGNC Investment
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
325 rated companies in Real Estate
- This company
- 40
- Sector median
- 55
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in REIT (Mortgage)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Annaly Capital ManagementNLY $13.84B49
- Starwood Property TrustSTWD $4.27B33
- Dynex CapitalDX $2.59B40
- Blackstone Mortgage TrustBXMT $1.8B38
- ARMOUR Residential REITARR $1.68B30
- Ellington FinancialEFC $1.43B55
- Ladder CapitalLADR $1.07B47
- Orchid Island CapitalORC $901.27M44
ETFs that hold AGNC Investment
Held by 11 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global X Superdividend UCITS ETF USDUDIV | 0.88% | 0.45% | €848.49M |
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.31% | 0.30% | €5.36B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.28% | 0.43% | €2.5B |
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| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.18% | 0.30% | €964.08M |
| iShares World Equity High Income Active UCITS ETF USDWINC | 0.18% | 0.35% | €955.74M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.13% | 0.10% | €395.74M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.10% | 0.35% | €8.27B |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.03% | 0.25% | €178.55M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 15 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.