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Mastercard stock

MANYSE

Mastercard Incorporated, Financial ServicesISIN US57636Q1040

$652.60▼ $8.13 (−1.2%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

84Score 84 out of 100, Strong

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Price and trend

88 / 100

Price history

+16% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 21% above it.

Trend change

Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 61).

Distance to the high

The price is 3.0% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 63% (June 2008 to January 2009).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$598.54
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$541.46
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)61
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$471.55
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$672.68
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$575.61B
Div. yield
0.53%
12 months
34.1
29.0
on earnings for the next twelve months ($22.76 per share)
Fair value
$453.37

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Mastercard Incorporated belongs to the Financial (Credit Services) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $568.53B, is number 2 of 61 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $32.79B (up 16.4% year on year) and earnings of $14.97B (up 16.3%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $37.39B (up 14%) and adjusted earnings per share of $20.05 (up 17.8%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 84 out of 100 (Strong): rank 31 of 976 in Financial Services, median 68.
  • The P/E is 33.7 (Financial (Credit Services) median 11.8, own median of recent years 36.7).
  • Our model puts fair value at $453.37, with the price 46% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 95.7% in fiscal 2025, Financial (Credit Services) median 8.1%.Profitability 100
  • High marginNet margin 46.7% over the last 12 months, Financial (Credit Services) median 14.2%.Profitability 100
  • Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 20 years.Capital allocation 96

Weaknesses

  • High debtDebt 3.55 times equity (latest quarter), Financial (Credit Services) median 1.48.Stability 58
84/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Strong

Its standout strengths are profitability and capital allocation, while valuation holds the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)91%
ROIC (12 months)97.8%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk low

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among the 100 largest stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 4 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 9 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals
  • very large company
  • price near its 52-week high

Valuation

Valuation signal

Modestly overvalued
Price
$660.73
Fair value
$453.37
Gap to fair value
+46%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $323.83 and expensive above $755.61 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).

The two parts of the fair value come to $678.89 (cash-flow model) and $227.85 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $393.34, at 7.8% it would be $543.71.

Valuation metrics

2.47
25.7
Fair value (model)
$453.37
Earnings part $227.85 (earnings per share $19.36 × 11.8)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (11.8).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 15.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 13% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 100%, operating 58%, net 46%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
3.55
26.9x
1.01
Cash & equivalents
$10.46B

Meaningfully leveraged, but the interest bill is comfortably covered.

Earnings

Next earnings
28 Jan 2027in 77 days
Last reported
29 Oct 2026EPS reported $5.31 (expected $5.17)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202629 analysts
Earnings per share
$20.05+0.5%
Revenue
$37.39B+0.3%
Fiscal 202728 analysts
Earnings per share
$23.18+0.3%
Revenue
$42.09B+0.3%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: +4.5%

Mastercard reaffirms its full-year outlook: net revenue growth for 2026 still expected at the high end of a low double digits range, with expenses also in line with prior expectations.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“As it relates to our expectations for the fourth quarter of 2026, year-over-year net revenue growth is expected to be at the high end of low double digits range on a currency-neutral basis, excluding inorganic activity.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 8 insiders sold, $70.79M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Ling HaiSale

    2 Nov 2026, Chief Financial Officer

    Shares
    4,317
    Price
    $641.00
    Value
    $2.77M
  • Ling HaiSale

    30 Oct 2026, Chief Financial Officer

    Shares
    4,318
    Price
    $642.43
    Value
    $2.77M
  • Ling HaiSale

    16 Oct 2026, Chief Financial Officer

    Shares
    4,317
    Price
    $620.00
    Value
    $2.68M
Show 20 more
  • Genachowski JuliusSale

    12 Oct 2026, Board

    Shares
    370
    Price
    $590.21
    Value
    $218,378
  • Genachowski JuliusSale

    9 Oct 2026, Board

    Shares
    371
    Price
    $585.01
    Value
    $217,040
  • Sachin J. MehraSale

    2 Sept 2026, Chief Business Officer

    Shares
    3,266
    Price
    $584.00
    Value
    $1.91M
  • Kirkpatrick Linda PistecchiaSale

    31 Aug 2026, Chief Services Officer

    Shares
    923
    Price
    $593.54
    Value
    $547,837
  • Sachin J. MehraSale

    20 Aug 2026, Chief Business Officer

    Shares
    1,000
    Price
    $572.07
    Value
    $572,070
  • Sachin J. MehraSale

    19 Aug 2026, Chief Business Officer

    Shares
    7,444
    Price
    $577.13
    Value
    $4.3M
  • Kirkpatrick Linda PistecchiaSale

    17 Aug 2026, Chief Services Officer

    Shares
    1,191
    Price
    $565.24
    Value
    $673,201
  • Sachin J. MehraSale

    5 Aug 2026, Chief Business Officer

    Shares
    3,000
    Price
    $571.87
    Value
    $1.72M
  • Miebach MichaelSale

    5 Aug 2026, President & CEO

    Shares
    15,372
    Price
    $575.00
    Value
    $8.84M
  • Kirkpatrick Linda PistecchiaSale

    4 Aug 2026, Chief Services Officer

    Shares
    4,280
    Price
    $570.31
    Value
    $2.44M
  • Miebach MichaelSale

    3 Aug 2026, President & CEO

    Shares
    16,628
    Price
    $580.00
    Value
    $9.64M
  • Miebach MichaelSale

    31 Jul 2026, President & CEO

    Shares
    16,628
    Price
    $567.68
    Value
    $9.44M
  • McLaughlin Edward GrundeSale

    15 Jul 2026, President & CTO, MA Tech

    Shares
    19,800
    Price
    $534.87
    Value
    $10.59M
  • Arkell Sandra ASale

    15 Jul 2026, Controller

    Shares
    144
    Price
    $540.00
    Value
    $77,760
  • Arkell Sandra ASale

    14 Jul 2026, Controller

    Shares
    200
    Price
    $540.00
    Value
    $108,000
  • Arkell Sandra ASale

    7 Jul 2026, Controller

    Shares
    200
    Price
    $540.00
    Value
    $108,000
  • Arkell Sandra ASale

    6 Jul 2026, Controller

    Shares
    200
    Price
    $540.00
    Value
    $108,000
  • Seshadri RajSale

    2 Jul 2026, Chief Commercial Pmts Officer

    Shares
    1,977
    Price
    $529.73
    Value
    $1.05M
  • Seshadri RajSale

    1 Jul 2026, Chief Commercial Pmts Officer

    Shares
    4,828
    Price
    $525.00
    Value
    $2.53M
  • McLaughlin Edward GrundeSale

    1 Jul 2026, President & CTO, MA Tech

    Shares
    14,260
    Price
    $525.19
    Value
    $7.49M

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Mastercard

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

976 rated companies in Financial Services

Rank 31 of 976
31/ 976
This company
84
Sector median
68

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 976 companies100 (median 57)43 above the median
GrowthMedian of 976 companies89 (median 67)22 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 976 companies94 (median 80)14 above the median
ValuationMedian of 929 companies with a value34 (median 73)39 below the median
StabilityMedian of 976 companies58 (median 78)20 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 976 companies96 (median 56)40 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 976 companies88 (median 70)18 above the median
MomentumMedian of 976 companies85 (median 70)15 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Financial (Credit Services)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 61 Financial (Credit Services) stocks

ETFs that hold Mastercard

Held by 133 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Oct 2009)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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