ORIX stock
IXNYSEORIX Corporation, Financial ServicesISIN US6863301015
66Score 66 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
47 / 100
Price history
+32% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 7.5% below it.
Since July 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 30).
The price is 19% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 94% (February 2007 to February 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$37.60
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$36.26
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)30
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$25.42
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$41.31
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- ORIX Corporation belongs to the Financial (Credit Services) industry (Japan) and, with a market value of $36.88B, is number 7 of 61 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- This is an American depositary receipt (ADR).
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $22.18B (up 22.8% year on year) and earnings of $2.98B (up 35.1%).
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- MEQIRI Score 66 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 569 of 976 in Financial Services, median 68.
- The P/E is 6.3 (Financial (Credit Services) median 11.8, own median of recent years 9.4).
- Our model puts fair value at $67.08, with the price 50% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High marginNet margin 33.3% over the last 12 months, Financial (Credit Services) median 14.2%.Profitability 73
- Below fair valuePrice 50% below the fair value of $67.08.Valuation 99
- Modestly valuedP/E 6.3, Financial (Credit Services) median 11.8, own median 9.4.Valuation 99
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are valuation and capital allocation, while technical analysis holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 65 to 66.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $51.60 and expensive above $95.83 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $70.97 (cash-flow model) and $63.19 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.2%. At 9.2% the fair value would be $62.75, at 7.2% it would be $72.82.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (11.8).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 2.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2007, at about 6% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 32%, operating 22%, net 13%. Last 12 months: net 33%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 8 Feb 2027in 88 days
- Last reported
- 9 Nov 2026above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- 770.96+0.1%
- Revenue
- $23.63B+0.1%
- Earnings per share
- 491.98+0.1%
- Revenue
- $23.14B+0.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +3.3%Pretax profit of JPY 760 billion (up 10%) is expected for the year ending March 2027; the inbound related business is expected to earn less because of geopolitical tensions.
“As shown in the second row, expected pretax profit for the fiscal year ending March '27 will be JPY 760 billion, an increase of JPY 68.6 billion or 10% year-over-year.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 12 May 2026 (fiscal Q4 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Not counted: 3 purchases under a fixed plan (compensation, savings plan or a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 trading plan).
- Otsuka TakashiPlan purchase
20 May 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 13.16
- Price
- $38.22
- Value
- $503
- Matsuzaki SatoruPlan purchase
20 May 2026, See remarks
- Shares
- 6.58
- Price
- $38.22
- Value
- $251
- Ishihara TomohikoPlan purchase
20 May 2026, Executive Officer
- Shares
- 3.95
- Price
- $38.22
- Value
- $151
Shares and prices per ordinary share as filed with the SEC, not per depositary receipt.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at ORIX
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
976 rated companies in Financial Services
- This company
- 66
- Sector median
- 68
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Financial (Credit Services)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- American ExpressAXP $216.66B84
- Capital One FinancialCOF $118.57B67
- Bajaj FinanceBAJFINANCE.NS $71.63B78
- PayPal HoldingsPYPL $49.41B79
- Global PaymentsGPN $26.52B60
- Shriram FinanceSHRIRAMFIN.NS $24.34B75
- Synchrony FinancialSYF $23.43B79
- Affirm HoldingsAFRM $23.16B67
ETFs that hold ORIX
Held by 90 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deka MSCI Japan Climate Change ESG UCITS ETFEL45 | 2.29% | 0.26% | €162.3M |
| WisdomTree Japan Equity UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTIF | 1.36% | 0.45% | €892.19M |
| Franklin Global Quality Dividend UCITS ETFFLXX | 1.35% | 0.30% | €127.44M |
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| Amundi MSCI Japan ESG Broad Transition UCITS ETF DISTJUPI | 0.93% | 0.15% | €1.31B |
| Xtrackers MSCI Japan Screened UCITS ETF 3C EUR HedgedXDNE | 0.85% | 0.25% | €453.13M |
| Amundi MSCI Pacific ESG Broad Transition UCITS ETF DistX014 | 0.85% | 0.45% | €175.23M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI Japan UCITS ETFZPDJ | 0.81% | 0.12% | €1.09B |
| Amundi Prime Japan UCITS ETF DR (C)PRAJ | 0.70% | 0.05% | €4.21B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Mar 2026
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = ¥159.23)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral since 10 Nov 2026, previously Strong
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.