Lottomatica Group stock
LTMC.MIMILLottomatica Group S.p.A., Consumer CyclicalISIN IT0005541336
73Score 73 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
75 / 100
Price history
+35% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 4 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 12% above it.
Since April 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 81).
The price is 1.4% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 4 years: 24% (July 2025 to November 2025).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$28.89
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$27.80
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)81
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$22.32
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$31.61
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Lottomatica Group S.p.A. belongs to the Casinos and Gaming industry (Italy) and, with a market value of $7.22B, is number 10 of 33 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.5B (up 12.1% year on year) and earnings of $193.94M (up 76.8%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.65B (up 6.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.00 (up 42.8%).
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- MEQIRI Score 73 out of 100 (Strong): rank 111 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $52.62, with the price 41% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 42% a year since 2020, Casinos and Gaming median 23.4%.Growth 82
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 217% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 78
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 17.9% a year through 2028 (estimates from 11 analysts).Growth 82
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 10.17 times equity (latest quarter), Casinos and Gaming median 2.29.Stability 30
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 2.4 times.Stability 30
Its standout strengths are valuation and momentum, while stability holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 14 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
What lowers it
- price near its 52-week high
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $40.48 and expensive above $75.17 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.5%. At 10.5% the fair value would be $45.85, at 8.5% it would be $62.06.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but high risk.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 3.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2020, at around 42% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 40%, operating 20%, net 8%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 9 Mar 2027in 117 days
- Last reported
- 2 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.32 (expected $0.36)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 3.8% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $2.00−3.8%
- Revenue
- $2.65B−1.2%
- Earnings per share
- $2.50−0.4%
- Revenue
- $2.85B−0.4%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
What happened at Lottomatica Group
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 73
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Casinos and Gaming
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- DraftKingsDKNG $9.75B36
- Wynn ResortsWYNN $8.79B54
- AllwynALWN.AT $8.65B66
- MGM Resorts InternationalMGM $8.47B58
- Churchill DownsCHDN $6.9B70
- Caesars EntertainmentCZR $5.97B52
- Super Group (SGHC)SGHC $5.93B77
- Vail ResortsMTN $5.52B62
ETFs that hold Lottomatica Group
Held by 31 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares STOXX Europe 600 Travel & Leisure UCITS ETF (DE)EXV9 | 6.17% | 0.46% | €66.48M |
| Amundi Global Sport and eSport UCITS ETF AccGENY | 2.92% | 0.45% | €16.91M |
| Amundi MSCI EMU Small Cap ESG Broad Transition UCITS ETF DISTLGWU | 1.21% | 0.40% | €575.19M |
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| iShares MSCI EMU Small Cap UCITS ETFSXRJ | 1.19% | 0.58% | €834.67M |
| Xtrackers FTSE MIB UCITS ETF 1DDBXI | 0.93% | 0.30% | €99.53M |
| iShares EURO STOXX Mid UCITS ETFIQQM | 0.77% | 0.40% | €558.1M |
| Ossiam Europe ESG Machine LearningOSX4 | 0.71% | 0.65% | €67.94M |
| Amundi MSCI Europe Small Cap ESG Broad Transition UCITS ETF DistX026 | 0.49% | 0.23% | €319.31M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.8987)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 24 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.