Lincoln Educational Services stock
LINCNASDAQLincoln Educational Services Corporation, Consumer DefensiveISIN US5335351004
45Score 45 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
54 / 100
Price history
+13% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 34% below it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 56).
The price is 58% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 99% (March 2010 to September 2015).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$22.78
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$35.66
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)56
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$17.55
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$55.68
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Lincoln Educational Services Corporation belongs to the Education & Training Services industry (United States) and, with a market value of $723.67M, is number 16 of 18 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $518.24M (up 17.8% year on year) and earnings of $20M (up 102.2%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $594.64M (up 14.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.78 (down 13.5%).
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- MEQIRI Score 45 out of 100 (Weak): rank 264 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
- The P/E is 31.2 (Education & Training Services median 13.5, own median of recent years 16.1).
- Our model puts fair value at $14.30, with the price 64% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 16.5% a year through 2027 (estimates from 4 analysts).
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 25% since 2020.Capital allocation 22
- Richly valuedP/E 31.2, Education & Training Services median 13.5, own median 16.1.Valuation 48
- Earnings per share fallingDown 15.3% a year since 2020.Growth 44
The score is held back by stability and capital allocation.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 46 to 45.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- high price swings
- weak fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $9.53 and expensive above $28.60 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $18.43 (cash-flow model) and $10.17 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $12.67, at 7.8% it would be $16.74.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (13.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 19% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 60%, operating 6%, net 4%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterMeaningfully leveraged, but the interest bill is comfortably covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 22 Feb 2027in 102 days
- Last reported
- 9 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.15 (expected $0.13)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $0.78+0.1%
- Revenue
- $594.64M0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $1.03+0.1%
- Revenue
- $648.81M0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −25.9%All full year guidance reiterated except capital expenditures, which rise from $70 to $75 million to $95 to $100 million; student starts in Q2 were lower than expected.
“With regard to our capital expenditures, guidance, we are increasing it from $70 million to $75 million to $95 million to $100 million. increase reflects the $18 million purchase of the Melrose Park property and the anticipated 2026 spend of our Suitland, Maryland campus.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 10 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 5 insiders sold, $12.93M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Luster Alexandra MSale
15 Jun 2026, SVP and General Counsel
- Shares
- 18,007
- Price
- $44.64
- Value
- $803,832
- Juniper Investment Company, LLCSale
12 Jun 2026, Insider
- Shares
- 37,000
- Price
- $46.88
- Value
- $1.73M
- Juniper Investment Company, LLCSale
11 Jun 2026, Insider
- Shares
- 11,812
- Price
- $47.87
- Value
- $565,390
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- Carney Kevin MSale
10 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 3,000
- Price
- $48.00
- Value
- $144,000
- Luster Alexandra MSale
5 Jun 2026, SVP and General Counsel
- Shares
- 1,993
- Price
- $50.11
- Value
- $99,869
- Juniper Investment Company, LLCSale
4 Jun 2026, Insider
- Shares
- 25,208
- Price
- $51.13
- Value
- $1.29M
- Juniper Investment Company, LLCSale
3 Jun 2026, Insider
- Shares
- 81,504
- Price
- $50.10
- Value
- $4.08M
- Pryor Felecia J.Sale
3 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 2,000
- Price
- $49.70
- Value
- $99,400
- Burke James J JrSale
22 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 15,807
- Price
- $48.36
- Value
- $764,427
- Burke James J JrSale
18 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 16,000
- Price
- $49.54
- Value
- $792,640
- Juniper Investment Company, LLCSale
15 May 2026, Insider
- Shares
- 1,985
- Price
- $50.11
- Value
- $99,468
- Burke James J JrSale
14 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 193
- Price
- $51.76
- Value
- $9,990
- Juniper Investment Company, LLCSale
14 May 2026, Insider
- Shares
- 47,836
- Price
- $51.16
- Value
- $2.45M
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Lincoln Educational Services
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 45
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Education & Training Services
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Universal Technical InstituteUTI $1.27B47
- AcadeMediaACAD.ST $1.21B66
- Strategic EducationSTRA $1.19B44
- AfyaAFYA $981.29M70
- CourseraCOUR $929.61M39
- American Public EducationAPEI $769.63M63
- Phoenix Education PartnersPXED $701.62M68
- Gaotu TecheduGOTU $587.64M46
ETFs that hold Lincoln Educational Services
Held by 9 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.02% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.02% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.02% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
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| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.00% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.00% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.00% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.00% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI All Country World Investable Market UCITS ETF (Acc)SPYI | 0.00% | 0.17% | €8.6B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 6 Mar 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.