Afya stock
AFYANASDAQAfya Limited, Consumer DefensiveISIN KYG011251066
69Score 69 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
24 / 100
Price history
−29% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 7 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 26% below it.
Since July 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 19).
The price is 35% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 7 years: 72% (August 2019 to July 2022).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$12.91
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$14.01
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)19
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$10.15
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$15.86
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Afya Limited belongs to the Education & Training Services industry (Brazil) and, with a market value of $944.71M, is number 13 of 18 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $645.31M (up 9.7% year on year) and earnings of $131.33M (up 16.8%).
- MEQIRI Score 69 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 74 of 296 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
Show more
- The P/E is 6.6 (Education & Training Services median 13.8, own median of recent years 24.9).
- Our model puts fair value at $18.62, with the price 45% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 24.7% a year since 2020, Education & Training Services median 9.9%.Growth 97
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 6.36%, Consumer Defensive sector median 2.99%.Capital allocation 66
- Modestly valuedP/E 6.6, Education & Training Services median 13.8, own median 24.9.Valuation 85
Weaknesses
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 2.7 times.Stability 64
Its standout strengths are growth and fundamentals, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 70 to 69.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
- weak momentum
- price far below its 52-week high
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $13.30 and expensive above $31.03 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $15.69 (cash-flow model) and $21.54 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 15.1%. At 16.1% the fair value would be $17.89, at 14.1% it would be $19.56.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (13.8).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 8.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2017, at around 42% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 64%, operating 33%, net 20%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- No date announced.
- Last reported
- 12 Nov 2026EPS reported 0.4 (expected 0.37)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 13.3% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- 8.43−10.2%
- Revenue
- $658.53M−10.4%
- Earnings per share
- 9.11−13.3%
- Revenue
- $701.55M−10.8%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +0.7%2026 targets remain: capital spending of BRL 340 million to BRL 380 million, accelerating in the second half.
“We want to fulfill the guidance that we provided that is between BRL 340 million and BRL 380 million for the year.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 13 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 3 insiders sold, $1.37M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Ferreira Santos WelderSale
5 Oct 2026, Controller
- Shares
- 4,161
- Price
- $13.30
- Value
- $55,341
- Junior Lelio de SouzaSale
1 Jul 2026, Vice President
- Shares
- 36,204
- Price
- $15.00
- Value
- $543,060
- Basolli Gomiero MirellaSale
26 Jun 2026, Vice President
- Shares
- 10,000
- Price
- $14.80
- Value
- $148,000
Show 1 more
- Junior Lelio de SouzaSale
26 Jun 2026, Vice President
- Shares
- 41,541
- Price
- $15.00
- Value
- $623,115
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Afya
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
296 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 69
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Education & Training Services
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Perdoceo EducationPRDO $1.81B69
- Universal Technical InstituteUTI $1.22B46
- Strategic EducationSTRA $1.21B44
- AcadeMediaACAD.ST $1.2B66
- CourseraCOUR $901.75M39
- American Public EducationAPEI $749.25M62
- Phoenix Education PartnersPXED $716.29M67
- Lincoln Educational ServicesLINC $707.36M45
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = R$5.6169)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral since 13 Nov 2026, previously Strong
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.