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Galp Energia, SGPS stock

GALP.LSLIS

Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A., EnergyISIN PTGAL0AM0009

$21.30▲ $0.16 (+0.7%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

71Score 71 out of 100, Strong

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Price and trend

46 / 100

Price history

+5.7% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 4.4% below it.

Trend change

Since February 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 14).

Distance to the high

The price is 17% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 68% (December 2007 to October 2008).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$23.90
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$22.28
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)14
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$15.53
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$25.79
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$15.28B
Div. yield
3.58%
12 months
13.6
on reported earnings of the last twelve months
8.4
on earnings for the next twelve months ($2.51 per share)
Fair value
$22.29

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A. belongs to the Oil & Gas Integrated industry (Portugal) and, with a market value of $15.39B, is number 19 of 25 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $21.71B (down 8.5% year on year) and earnings of $1.25B (up 7.7%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $31.26B (up 44%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.96 (up 51.8%).
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  • MEQIRI Score 71 out of 100 (Strong): rank 41 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
  • The P/E is 13.7 (Oil & Gas Integrated median 11.3, own median of recent years 15.5).
  • Our model puts fair value at $22.29, with the price 5% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 17 years.Capital allocation 86
  • Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 166% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 96
  • Share buybacksShare count down 11% since 2020.Capital allocation 86

Weaknesses

  • Analysts expect falling earningsDown 16.4% a year through 2028 (estimates from 12 analysts).
71/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Strong

Its standout strengths are fundamentals and capital allocation, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency90% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)166%
ROIC (12 months)34.3%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.

From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Fairly valued
Price
$21.14
Fair value
$22.29
Gap to fair value
−5%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $17.15 and expensive above $31.84 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $27.09 (cash-flow model) and $17.49 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.8%. At 8.8% the fair value would be $20.54, at 6.8% it would be $24.88.

Valuation metrics

no data
3.6
Fair value (model)
$22.29
Earnings part $17.49 (earnings per share $1.55 × 11.3)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (11.3).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 21.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 11%, operating 9%, net 6%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.84
7.7x
1.38
Cash & equivalents
$3.19B

Moderate debt, and interest is adequately covered.

Earnings

Next earnings
22 Feb 2027in 102 days
Last reported
26 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.04 (expected $0.94)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have raised their 2026 earnings estimate by 8.5% since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202613 analysts
Earnings per share
$2.96+8.5%
Revenue
$31.26B+1.2%
Fiscal 202713 analysts
Earnings per share
$2.44+1.1%
Revenue
$28.33B+1.5%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: −11.1%

Galp again raised its full year guidance, now expecting EBITDA of around $5 billion and operating cash flow close to $3.9 billion, while also lifting the refining margin assumption to around $25 per barrel.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We now expect EBITDA of around $5 billion and operating cash flow close to 3.9 billion.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 26 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.

What happened at Galp Energia, SGPS

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

266 rated companies in Energy

Rank 41 of 266
41/ 266
This company
71
Sector median
60

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 266 companies70 (median 58)12 above the median
GrowthMedian of 266 companies76 (median 65)11 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 266 companies96 (median 62)34 above the median
ValuationMedian of 255 companies with a value75 (median 82)7 below the median
StabilityMedian of 266 companies69 (median 60)9 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 266 companies86 (median 48)38 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 266 companies46 (median 54)8 below the median
MomentumMedian of 266 companies42 (median 56)14 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Oil & Gas Integrated

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 25 Oil & Gas Integrated stocks

ETFs that hold Galp Energia, SGPS

Held by 111 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.8987)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 3 Jul 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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