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First Solar stock

FSLRNASDAQ

First Solar, Inc., EnergyISIN US3364331070

$172.30▼ $5.81 (−3.3%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

61Score 61 out of 100, Neutral

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

45 / 100

Price history

−36% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 19% below it.

Trend change

Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 50).

Distance to the high

The price is 46% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 96% (May 2008 to June 2012).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$185.28
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$213.42
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)50
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$168.15
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$318.25
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$19.14B
Div. yield
no dividend
10.3
8.0
on earnings for the next twelve months ($22.36 per share)
Fair value
$123.32

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • First Solar, Inc. belongs to the Solar industry (United States) and, with a market value of $18.52B, is the largest of 12 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $5.22B (up 24.1% year on year) and earnings of $1.53B (up 18.3%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $4.81B (down 7.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of $17.62 (up 24%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 61 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 125 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
  • The P/E is 10 (Solar median 25.1, own median of recent years 21).
  • Our model puts fair value at $123.32, with the price 44% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Earnings per share growingUp 30.5% a year since 2020.Growth 78
  • Modestly valuedP/E 10, Solar median 25.1, own median 21.Valuation 70
  • High marginNet margin 37.1% over the last 12 months, Solar median 2.6%.Profitability 79

Weaknesses

  • Margin may fall backOperating margin 30.6%, average of the prior years 20.1%, which ranged from −1% to 33.2%. After peaks like this, the margin was more than a quarter lower two years later in 44 of 100 cases, against 24 of 100 for other companies with high margins.
  • Volatile share priceVolatility 53% a year over the last 12 months.
  • Share price fell sharplyDown 35% over the last 12 months.Momentum 19
61/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are stability and profitability, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Score since yesterday from 62 to 61.

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency60% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)13%
ROIC (12 months)22.1%
Positive free cash flow20% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.

From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • price far below its 52-week high
  • high price swings
  • weak fundamentals

What lowers it

  • price not overheated over the past year

Valuation

Valuation signal

Modestly overvalued
Price
$178.11
Fair value
$123.32
Gap to fair value
+44%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $88.09 and expensive above $205.54 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

Valuation metrics

0.71
7
Fair value (model)
$123.32
Earnings part $123.32 (earnings at the median net margin $4.92 × 25.1)

From earnings times the industry P/E (25.1) alone; there are no viable cash flows for the cash-flow model.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 0.7% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 21% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 41%, operating 31%, net 29%. Last 12 months: net 37%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.03
36.8x
2.57
Cash & equivalents
$1.62B

The balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.

Earnings

Next earnings
23 Feb 2027in 103 days
Last reported
29 Oct 2026EPS reported $5.30 (expected $4.67)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202626 analysts
Earnings per share
$17.62+0.6%
Revenue
$4.81B−4.3%
Fiscal 202726 analysts
Earnings per share
$23.09−1.1%
Revenue
$5.7B−3.3%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: +5.9%

Outlook reaffirmed (adjusted EBITDA of $625 million to $775 million), net tariff impact now $60 million to $80 million; second phase of the plant now expected mid 2027.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“With that said, our guidance now assumes a net tariff impact of 60% $80 million, with updates including the previously mentioned net IEPA recovery and the assumption of Section 3 zero 1 tariffs in the second half of the year.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 30 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 7 insiders sold, $10.58M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Gloeckler MarkusSale

    1 Oct 2026, Chief Technology Officer

    Shares
    800
    Price
    $174.00
    Value
    $139,200
  • Gloeckler MarkusSale

    1 Sept 2026, Chief Technology Officer

    Shares
    800
    Price
    $200.00
    Value
    $160,000
  • Sloan Samantha L.Sale

    17 Aug 2026, EVP, Corporate Affairs

    Shares
    127
    Price
    $222.95
    Value
    $28,315
Show 11 more
  • Dymbort Jason E.Sale

    11 Aug 2026, General Counsel and Secretary

    Shares
    3,700
    Price
    $249.38
    Value
    $922,706
  • Gloeckler MarkusSale

    4 Aug 2026, Chief Technology Officer

    Shares
    829
    Price
    $248.00
    Value
    $205,592
  • Gloeckler MarkusSale

    3 Aug 2026, Chief Technology Officer

    Shares
    3,425
    Price
    $218.95
    Value
    $749,903
  • Koralewski MichaelSale

    3 Aug 2026, Chief Supply Chain Officer

    Shares
    7,000
    Price
    $221.51
    Value
    $1.55M
  • Stockdale CarolineSale

    28 May 2026, Chief People and Comm. Officer

    Shares
    10,628
    Price
    $275.60
    Value
    $2.93M
  • Widmar Mark RSale

    26 May 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    5,195
    Price
    $268.98
    Value
    $1.4M
  • Widmar Mark RSale

    22 May 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    1,977
    Price
    $254.15
    Value
    $502,459
  • Verma Kuntal KumarSale

    21 May 2026, Chief Manufacturing Officer

    Shares
    582
    Price
    $250.00
    Value
    $145,500
  • Widmar Mark RSale

    21 May 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    4,815
    Price
    $247.43
    Value
    $1.19M
  • Widmar Mark RSale

    13 May 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    1,300
    Price
    $240.02
    Value
    $312,026
  • Verma Kuntal KumarSale

    13 May 2026, Chief Manufacturing Officer

    Shares
    1,455
    Price
    $240.00
    Value
    $349,200

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at First Solar

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

266 rated companies in Energy

Rank 125 of 266
125/ 266
This company
61
Sector median
60

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 266 companies79 (median 58)21 above the median
GrowthMedian of 266 companies78 (median 65)13 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 266 companies45 (median 62)17 below the median
ValuationMedian of 255 companies with a value70 (median 82)12 below the median
StabilityMedian of 266 companies80 (median 60)20 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 266 companies68 (median 48)20 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 266 companies45 (median 54)9 below the median
MomentumMedian of 266 companies19 (median 56)37 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Solar

The next smaller companies by market value

All 12 Solar stocks

ETFs that hold First Solar

Held by 122 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
Invesco Solar Energy UCITS ETFS0LR9.55%0.69%€138.27M
iShares Global Clean Energy Transition UCITS ETFIQQH9.14%0.65%€2.49B
Amundi MSCI New Energy UCITS ETF DistLYM92.33%0.60%€956.11M
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 21 Aug 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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