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Sunrun stock

RUNNASDAQ

Sunrun Inc., EnergyISIN US86771W1053

$8.52▼ $0.55 (−6.1%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

43Score 43 out of 100, Weak

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

52 / 100

Price history

−56% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 11 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 29% below it.

Trend change

Since April 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 58).

Distance to the high

The price is 60% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 11 years: 94% (January 2021 to April 2025).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$8.15
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$11.97
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)58
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$6.89
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$21.41
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$2.19B
Div. yield
no dividend
4.6
on reported earnings of the last twelve months
11.7
on earnings for the next twelve months ($0.77 per share)
Fair value
no data

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Sunrun Inc. belongs to the Solar industry (United States) and, with a market value of $2.06B, is number 6 of 12 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $3.12B (up 5.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.50 (down 12.2%).
  • MEQIRI Score 43 out of 100 (Weak): rank 229 of 266 in Energy, median 60.
Show more
  • The P/E is 4.3 (Solar median 25.1, own median of recent years 19.3).

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Modestly valuedP/E 4.3, Solar median 25.1, own median 19.3.Valuation 88
  • Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 26.2% a year since 2020, Solar median 11.9%.Growth 70

Weaknesses

  • DilutionShare count up 67% since 2020.Capital allocation 20
  • Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 0.5 times.Stability 25
  • Analysts expect falling earningsDown 38.4% a year through 2028 (estimates from 9 analysts).
43/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Weak

Its standout strengths are valuation and growth, while stability and capital allocation hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamental quality fluctuates.

Profit consistency60% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)−106%
ROIC (12 months)1.0%
Positive free cash flow0% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • price far below its 52-week high
  • weak fundamentals
  • high price swings

What lowers it

  • price not overheated over the past year

Valuation

Valuation signal

Possible value trap
Price
$9.07
Fair value
not meaningful
Gap to fair value
no data

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

A fair value is not meaningful here, so the signal follows the valuation grade.

Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, high risk, weak balance sheet.

Valuation metrics

no data
13.9
Fair value (model)
no data

The model puts the fair value at more than four times the share price. That says more about the assumptions than about the company, so a fair value is not meaningful here and the valuation relies on the P/E and the other metrics.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

13 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 66.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2013, at around 39% per year.

Margins

13 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 27%, operating −4%, net 15%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
2.83
0.5x
1.52
Cash & equivalents
$699.43M

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
25 Feb 2027in 105 days
Last reported
4 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.56 (expected $0.16)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have raised their 2026 earnings estimate by 12.6% since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202613 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.50+12.6%
Revenue
$3.12B0.0%
Fiscal 202712 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.660.0%
Revenue
$3.26B0.0%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: +2.5%

All 2026 full year guidance reiterated.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“Our full-year 2026 guidance remains intact, and we are excited about our long-term growth trajectory.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 6 May 2026 (fiscal Q1 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 7 insiders sold, $3.59M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Barak MariaSale

    4 Nov 2026, Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    3,256
    Price
    $9.35
    Value
    $30,444
  • Dickson Paul S.Sale

    6 Oct 2026, Pres. & Chief Revenue Officer

    Shares
    15,837
    Price
    $7.76
    Value
    $122,971
  • Powell MarySale

    6 Oct 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    24,335
    Price
    $7.76
    Value
    $188,939
Show 14 more
  • Steele JeannaSale

    6 Oct 2026, Chief Legal & People Officer

    Shares
    10,042
    Price
    $7.76
    Value
    $77,967
  • Barak MariaSale

    6 Oct 2026, Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    1,771
    Price
    $7.77
    Value
    $13,753
  • Abajian DannySale

    6 Oct 2026, Chief Financial Officer

    Shares
    16,734
    Price
    $7.76
    Value
    $129,931
  • Jurich Lynn MichelleSale

    3 Aug 2026, Board

    Shares
    50,000
    Price
    $9.96
    Value
    $498,115
  • Barak MariaSale

    9 Jul 2026, Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    3,278
    Price
    $12.17
    Value
    $39,893
  • Steele JeannaSale

    6 Jul 2026, Chief Legal & People Officer

    Shares
    9,897
    Price
    $13.19
    Value
    $130,517
  • Powell MarySale

    6 Jul 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    23,985
    Price
    $13.19
    Value
    $316,285
  • Dickson Paul S.Sale

    6 Jul 2026, Pres. & Chief Revenue Officer

    Shares
    15,613
    Price
    $13.18
    Value
    $205,851
  • Barak MariaSale

    6 Jul 2026, Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    1,747
    Price
    $13.17
    Value
    $23,013
  • Abajian DannySale

    6 Jul 2026, Chief Financial Officer

    Shares
    16,495
    Price
    $13.19
    Value
    $217,511
  • Jurich Lynn MichelleSale

    1 Jul 2026, Board

    Shares
    50,000
    Price
    $13.61
    Value
    $680,320
  • Lontoh SonitaSale

    11 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    7,500
    Price
    $12.00
    Value
    $90,000
  • Abajian DannySale

    8 Jun 2026, Chief Financial Officer

    Shares
    2,030
    Price
    $13.39
    Value
    $27,190
  • Jurich Lynn MichelleSale

    1 Jun 2026, Board

    Shares
    50,000
    Price
    $15.92
    Value
    $796,165

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Sunrun

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

266 rated companies in Energy

Rank 229 of 266
229/ 266
This company
43
Sector median
60

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 266 companies43 (median 58)15 below the median
GrowthMedian of 266 companies70 (median 65)5 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 266 companies26 (median 62)36 below the median
ValuationMedian of 255 companies with a value88 (median 82)6 above the median
StabilityMedian of 266 companies25 (median 60)35 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 266 companies20 (median 48)28 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 266 companies52 (median 54)2 below the median
MomentumMedian of 266 companies31 (median 56)25 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Solar

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 12 Solar stocks

ETFs that hold Sunrun

Held by 17 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
Invesco Solar Energy UCITS ETFS0LR4.59%0.69%€138.27M
Invesco Global Clean Energy UCITS ETF AccumUSDG1CE0.93%0.60%€87.44M
Amundi MSCI New Energy UCITS ETF DistLYM90.27%0.60%€956.11M
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Nov 2018)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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