Fossil Group stock
FOSLNASDAQFossil Group, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US34988V1061
46Score 46 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
86 / 100
Price history
+278% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 74% above it.
Since July 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 68).
The price is 12% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 99% (April 2012 to April 2024).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$6.55
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$5.01
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)68
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$1.79
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$9.97
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Fossil Group, Inc. belongs to the Apparel (Footwear & Accessories) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $516.87M, is number 17 of 20 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1B (down 12.3% year on year) and a loss of $78.3M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $981.4M (down 2.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.14.
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 46 out of 100 (Weak): rank 500 of 596 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
None of our strength checks applies.
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 4.25 times equity (latest quarter), Apparel (Footwear & Accessories) median 0.77.Stability 23
- Loss-makingLoss of $18.33M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 35
- Revenue shrinkingRevenue down 9% a year since 2020.Growth 21
Its standout strengths are momentum and technical analysis, while stability and growth hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 43 to 46.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price up very strongly over the past year
- weak fundamentals
- high price swings
What lowers it
- price near its 52-week high
- stable momentum
- low growth grade (crashed less often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedNo fair value can be calculated for this stock, so the signal follows the valuation grade.
Valuation metrics
No fair value can be calculated for this stock from the available figures.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 3 Oct 2026, revenue fell 7.5% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 56%, operating 2%, net −8%. Last 12 months: net −2%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 10 Mar 2027in 117 days
- Last reported
- 10 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.19 (expected −$0.04)above expectations
Analyst estimates
- Earnings per share
- $0.14+500.0%
- Revenue
- $981.4M+1.6%
- Earnings per share
- $0.30+28.2%
- Revenue
- $994.73M+1.6%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +6.5%Outlook raised: net sales down 3% to 5% (previously down 4% to 6%), adjusted operating margin of 4% to 6% (previously 3% to 5%), free cash flow now expected to be positive for 2026.
“On the bottom line, we now expect adjusted operating margins in the range of 4% to 6%, up from our prior range of 3% to 5%.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 12 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
2 insiders bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $140,951 in total. One insider sold, $305,623 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Fossil Group
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
596 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 46
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Apparel (Footwear & Accessories)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Capri HoldingsCPRI $2.11B56
- Wolverine World WideWWW $1.88B68
- OVSOVS.MI $1.67B61
- Reformation Inc. (California)REF $1.07B55
- Weyco GroupWEYS $577.47M81
- Van de VeldeVAN.BR $409.13M73
- Rocky BrandsRCKY $389.42M72
- Designer BrandsDBI $359.91M53
ETFs that hold Fossil Group
Held by 3 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.04% | 0.39% | €1.49B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.02% | 0.30% | €2.22B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.01% | 0.30% | €4.28B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 3 Jan 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Nov 2018)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 13 Nov 2026, previously Overvalued
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.