First American Financial stock
FAFNYSEFirst American Financial Corporation, Financial ServicesISIN US31847R1023
66Score 66 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
66 / 100
Price history
+0.9% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 16 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 4.7% below it.
Since November 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 49).
The price is 19% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 16 years: 50% (March 2020 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$66.35
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$67.59
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)49
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$56.85
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$79.16
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- First American Financial Corporation belongs to the Insurance (Specialty) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $6.58B, is number 2 of 13 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $7.45B (up 21.6% year on year) and earnings of $621.8M (up 374.3%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $8.1B (up 8.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of $6.74 (up 14.9%).
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- MEQIRI Score 66 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 565 of 976 in Financial Services, median 68.
- The P/E is 9.1 (Insurance (Specialty) median 9.4, own median of recent years 11.2).
- Our model puts fair value at $42.88, with the price 56% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 16 years.Capital allocation 73
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 85
- Share buybacksShare count down 8% since 2020.Capital allocation 73
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and stability, while growth holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are strong overall.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 14 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $30.63 and expensive above $71.46 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $18.96 (excess return model) and $66.79 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $41.30, at 7.8% it would be $45.25.
Valuation metrics
Half from the excess return model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (9.4).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 14.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2007.
Margins
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: operating 11%, net 8%. Banks and insurers have no gross margin, and their net margin is not comparable with other industries. The score leaves both out.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterFor banks and insurers, deposits and liabilities are the business. Debt to equity and the current ratio say little here, and the score does not rate them.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 10 Feb 2027in 90 days
- Last reported
- 21 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.78 (expected $1.81)in line with expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 4.4% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $6.74−3.0%
- Revenue
- $8.1B−0.9%
- Earnings per share
- $6.82−4.4%
- Revenue
- $8.15B−4.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +6.5%The company remains optimistic about the second half and expects stronger cash generation, with no specific guidance change.
“Turning to our outlook, we remain optimistic about our earnings for the second half of the year. 6 months ago, we said our commercial business was on pace to deliver a record year. We expect cash generation to strengthen during the second half particularly since the first quarter is our seasonally weakest period.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 23 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $243,924 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Adams Steven ASale
24 Jul 2026, VP & Chief Accounting Officer
- Shares
- 3,252.6
- Price
- $74.99
- Value
- $243,924
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at First American Financial
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
976 rated companies in Financial Services
- This company
- 66
- Sector median
- 68
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Insurance (Specialty)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Fidelity National FinancialFNF $11.84B65
- Enact HoldingsACT $6.21B72
- Essent GroupESNT $5.75B71
- MGIC InvestmentMTG $5.54B73
- Radian GroupRDN $4.71B75
- Assured GuarantyAGO $3.24B57
- NMI HoldingsNMIH $2.94B72
- CofaceCOFA.PA $2.69B70
ETFs that hold First American Financial
Held by 16 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.21% | 0.30% | €5.27B |
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.15% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| WisdomTree US High Dividend UCITS ETF AccWTD9 | 0.15% | 0.29% | €182.46M |
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| WisdomTree US Equity Income UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTDY | 0.14% | 0.35% | €204.34M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.14% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.07% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.06% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.04% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 7 Aug 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.