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Essent Group stock

ESNTNYSE

Essent Group Ltd., Financial ServicesISIN BMG3198U1027

$64.89▲ $0.07 (+0.1%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

71Score 71 out of 100, Strong

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

60 / 100

Price history

+5.5% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 13 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 2.8% above it.

Trend change

Since July 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 44).

Distance to the high

The price is 6.8% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 13 years: 65% (November 2019 to March 2020).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$65.31
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$63.15
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)44
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$55.84
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$69.63
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$5.71B
Div. yield
2.1%
12 months
8.6
8.5
on earnings for the next twelve months ($7.63 per share)
Fair value
$88.62

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Essent Group Ltd. belongs to the Insurance (Specialty) industry (Bermuda) and, with a market value of $5.71B, is number 4 of 13 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.26B (down 0.5% year on year) and earnings of $689.97M (down 5.4%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.37B (up 8.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $7.45 (up 8.2%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 71 out of 100 (Strong): rank 365 of 975 in Financial Services, median 68.
  • The P/E is 8.6 (Insurance (Specialty) median 9.4, own median of recent years 8.6).
  • Our model puts fair value at $88.62, with the price 27% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Below fair valuePrice 27% below the fair value of $88.62.Valuation 90
  • Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 83
  • Share buybacksShare count down 7% since 2020.Capital allocation 73

Weaknesses

None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.

71/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Strong

Its standout strengths are valuation and stability.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

The fundamentals are strong overall.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings)not used for financials
ROE (12 months)12.0%
Positive free cash flownot used for financials
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk low

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 14 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly undervalued
Price
$64.89
Fair value
$88.62
Gap to fair value
−27%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $68.17 and expensive above $126.61 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $105.76 (excess return model) and $71.49 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $79.81, at 7.8% it would be $101.84.

Valuation metrics

1.05
12%
last 12 months, profit over average equity
Fair value (model)
$88.62
Earnings part $71.49 (earnings per share $7.57 × 9.4)

Half from the excess return model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (9.4).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

16 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 5.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2010, at around 42% per year.

Margins

16 years
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: operating 65%, net 55%. Banks and insurers have no gross margin, and their net margin is not comparable with other industries. The score leaves both out. Last 12 months: net 49%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.09
Equity
$5.56B
0.71
Cash & equivalents
$160.67M

For banks and insurers, deposits and liabilities are the business. Debt to equity and the current ratio say little here, and the score does not rate them.

Earnings

Next earnings
12 Feb 2027in 91 days
Last reported
6 Nov 2026EPS reported $1.82 (expected $1.85)in line with expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20263 analysts
Earnings per share
$7.45−0.9%
Revenue
$1.37B+0.4%
Fiscal 20275 analysts
Earnings per share
$7.66−1.7%
Revenue
$1.43B+0.5%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: +3.2%

Expectations unchanged: written premium of about $320 million for P&C reinsurance in 2026, and longer term expectations remain the same.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We continue to expect written premium of approximately $320 million for our P&C reinsurance activity in 2026, with roughly half earned this year at a combined ratio in the high 90s.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 7 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 6 insiders sold, $17.98M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Casale MarkSale

    5 Nov 2026, Chairman, CEO and President

    Shares
    49,042
    Price
    $71.09
    Value
    $3.49M
  • Weinstock David BSale

    15 Sept 2026, SVP and CFO

    Shares
    5,500
    Price
    $68.54
    Value
    $376,970
  • Kasmar Roy JamesSale

    14 Sept 2026, Board

    Shares
    4,837
    Price
    $68.71
    Value
    $332,372
Show 13 more
  • Casale MarkSale

    3 Sept 2026, Chairman, CEO and President

    Shares
    798
    Price
    $70.01
    Value
    $55,868
  • Pauls Douglas JSale

    24 Aug 2026, Board

    Shares
    2,500
    Price
    $69.70
    Value
    $174,250
  • Casale MarkSale

    19 Aug 2026, Chairman, CEO and President

    Shares
    21,607
    Price
    $70.07
    Value
    $1.51M
  • Casale MarkSale

    18 Aug 2026, Chairman, CEO and President

    Shares
    20,246
    Price
    $70.18
    Value
    $1.42M
  • Bhasin VijaySale

    18 Aug 2026, SVP and Chief Risk Officer

    Shares
    14,175
    Price
    $70.00
    Value
    $992,250
  • Bhasin VijaySale

    7 Aug 2026, SVP and Chief Risk Officer

    Shares
    483
    Price
    $70.00
    Value
    $33,810
  • Gibbons Mary LourdesSale

    17 Jul 2026, SVP and Chief Legal Officer

    Shares
    4,678
    Price
    $67.04
    Value
    $313,613
  • Casale MarkSale

    14 Jul 2026, Chairman, CEO and President

    Shares
    78,699
    Price
    $65.23
    Value
    $5.13M
  • Casale MarkSale

    13 Jul 2026, Chairman, CEO and President

    Shares
    23,900
    Price
    $65.07
    Value
    $1.56M
  • Casale MarkSale

    7 Jul 2026, Chairman, CEO and President

    Shares
    29,329
    Price
    $65.35
    Value
    $1.92M
  • Casale MarkSale

    6 Jul 2026, Chairman, CEO and President

    Shares
    1,245
    Price
    $65.08
    Value
    $81,025
  • Casale MarkSale

    30 Jun 2026, Chairman, CEO and President

    Shares
    3,763
    Price
    $65.01
    Value
    $244,633
  • Weinstock David BSale

    26 Jun 2026, SVP and CFO

    Shares
    5,500
    Price
    $63.51
    Value
    $349,305

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Essent Group

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

975 rated companies in Financial Services

Rank 365 of 975
365/ 975
This company
71
Sector median
68

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 975 companies57 (median 57)0 at the median
GrowthMedian of 975 companies65 (median 67)2 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 975 companies83 (median 80)3 above the median
ValuationMedian of 928 companies with a value90 (median 74)16 above the median
StabilityMedian of 975 companies87 (median 78)9 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 975 companies73 (median 56)17 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 975 companies60 (median 68)8 below the median
MomentumMedian of 975 companies63 (median 69)6 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Insurance (Specialty)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 13 Insurance (Specialty) stocks

ETFs that hold Essent Group

Held by 15 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ0.40%0.30%€185.82M
Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS0.38%0.39%€1.49B
Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS20.20%0.30%€2.22B
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Oct 2026)
  • Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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