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Commvault Systems stock

CVLTNASDAQ

Commvault Systems, Inc., TechnologyISIN US2041661024

$166.16▼ $0.58 (−0.3%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

62Score 62 out of 100, Neutral

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

82 / 100

Price history

+30% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 37% above it.

Trend change

Since July 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 47).

Distance to the high

The price is 3.7% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 69% (October 2013 to March 2020).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$153.26
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$121.05
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)47
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$75.18
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$172.55
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$6.82B
Div. yield
no dividend
85.2
on reported earnings of the last twelve months
27.7
on earnings for the next twelve months ($6.03 per share)
Fair value
$83.07

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Commvault Systems, Inc. belongs to the Software (Application) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $6.8B, is number 63 of 189 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $1.18B (up 18.9% year on year) and earnings of $70.66M (down 7.2%).
  • For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.31B (up 10.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $5.57 (up 27.4%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 62 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 403 of 863 in Technology, median 61.
  • The P/E is 84.9 (Software (Application) median 30.8, own median of recent years 69).
  • Our model puts fair value at $83.07, with the price 101% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 309% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 67
  • Share buybacksShare count down 6% since 2021.Capital allocation 58

Weaknesses

  • High debtDebt 73.51 times equity (latest quarter), Software (Application) median 0.35.Stability 51
  • Above fair valuePrice 101% above the fair value of $83.07.Valuation 15
  • Richly valuedP/E 84.9, Software (Application) median 30.8, own median 69.Valuation 15
62/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are momentum and technical analysis, while valuation holds the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

The fundamentals are in the middle range.

Profit consistency60% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)309%
ROIC (12 months)5.8%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • high price swings

What lowers it

  • price near its 52-week high

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly overvalued
Price
$166.74
Fair value
$83.07
Gap to fair value
+101%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $59.33 and expensive above $138.45 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $105.90 (cash-flow model) and $60.24 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.1%. At 11.1% the fair value would be $76.00, at 9.1% it would be $92.81.

Valuation metrics

6.99
54.2
Fair value (model)
$83.07
Earnings part $60.24 (earnings per share $1.96 × 30.8)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (30.8).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 14.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2007, at about 11% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2026: gross 80%, operating 9%, net 6%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
73.51
25.3x
1.94
Cash & equivalents
$897.25M

Meaningfully leveraged, but the interest bill is comfortably covered.

Earnings

Next earnings
26 Jan 2027in 74 days
Last reported
27 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.38 (expected $1.25)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202714 analysts
Earnings per share
$5.57+2.0%
Revenue
$1.31B+0.1%
Fiscal 202813 analysts
Earnings per share
$6.31+1.6%
Revenue
$1.46B+0.1%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: −0.8%

Commvault raised its full year outlook: subscription ARR now $1.205 billion to $1.215 billion, subscription revenue $1.127 billion to $1.133 billion (about 16% growth), and free cash flow $255 million to $265 million, all higher than before.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We are also raising our subscription revenue guidance to a range of $1.127 billion to $1.133 billion, representing approximately 16% year-over-year growth at the midpoint.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 27 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q2 2027), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 7 insiders sold, $11.27M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Adamo NicolaSale

    11 Sept 2026, Board

    Shares
    1,530
    Price
    $131.66
    Value
    $201,440
  • Merrill GarySale

    19 Aug 2026, Chief Financial Officer

    Shares
    1,293
    Price
    $142.80
    Value
    $184,640
  • Abrahamsen Danielle NicoleSale

    19 Aug 2026, Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    486
    Price
    $142.80
    Value
    $69,401
Show 23 more
  • Mirchandani SanjaySale

    19 Aug 2026, President & CEO

    Shares
    6,857
    Price
    $142.80
    Value
    $979,180
  • Merrill GarySale

    18 Aug 2026, Chief Financial Officer

    Shares
    1,854
    Price
    $143.64
    Value
    $266,309
  • Abrahamsen Danielle NicoleSale

    18 Aug 2026, Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    391
    Price
    $143.64
    Value
    $56,163
  • Mirchandani SanjaySale

    18 Aug 2026, President & CEO

    Shares
    4,840
    Price
    $143.64
    Value
    $695,218
  • Abrahamsen Danielle NicoleSale

    17 Aug 2026, Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    119
    Price
    $143.98
    Value
    $17,134
  • Mirchandani SanjaySale

    17 Aug 2026, President & CEO

    Shares
    12,437
    Price
    $143.98
    Value
    $1.79M
  • Haydon William GeoffreySale

    10 Aug 2026, President of Cust & Field Ops

    Shares
    316
    Price
    $134.78
    Value
    $42,590
  • Sanders A ShaneSale

    10 Aug 2026, Board

    Shares
    476
    Price
    $134.19
    Value
    $63,874
  • Lee VivieSale

    10 Aug 2026, Board

    Shares
    595
    Price
    $134.19
    Value
    $79,843
  • Abrahamsen Danielle NicoleSale

    2 Jul 2026, Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    254
    Price
    $150.00
    Value
    $38,100
  • Abrahamsen Danielle NicoleSale

    26 May 2026, Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    277
    Price
    $106.70
    Value
    $29,556
  • Merrill GarySale

    26 May 2026, Chief Financial Officer

    Shares
    4,554
    Price
    $106.70
    Value
    $485,912
  • Abrahamsen Danielle NicoleSale

    22 May 2026, Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    101
    Price
    $107.39
    Value
    $10,846
  • Merrill GarySale

    22 May 2026, Chief Financial Officer

    Shares
    3,777
    Price
    $107.39
    Value
    $405,616
  • Mirchandani SanjaySale

    22 May 2026, President & CEO

    Shares
    9,701
    Price
    $107.39
    Value
    $1.04M
  • Abrahamsen Danielle NicoleSale

    20 May 2026, Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    365
    Price
    $99.13
    Value
    $36,182
  • Mirchandani SanjaySale

    20 May 2026, President & CEO

    Shares
    8,450
    Price
    $99.13
    Value
    $837,649
  • Merrill GarySale

    19 May 2026, Chief Financial Officer

    Shares
    4,560
    Price
    $105.10
    Value
    $479,267
  • Abrahamsen Danielle NicoleSale

    19 May 2026, Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    1,065
    Price
    $105.84
    Value
    $112,724
  • Mirchandani SanjaySale

    19 May 2026, President & CEO

    Shares
    19,396
    Price
    $105.49
    Value
    $2.05M
  • Abrahamsen Danielle NicoleSale

    18 May 2026, Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    925
    Price
    $104.52
    Value
    $96,679
  • Merrill GarySale

    18 May 2026, Chief Financial Officer

    Shares
    3,098
    Price
    $104.54
    Value
    $323,865
  • Mirchandani SanjaySale

    18 May 2026, President & CEO

    Shares
    8,457
    Price
    $104.54
    Value
    $884,095

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Commvault Systems

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

863 rated companies in Technology

Rank 403 of 863
403/ 863
This company
62
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 863 companies56 (median 59)3 below the median
GrowthMedian of 863 companies66 (median 68)2 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 863 companies67 (median 67)0 at the median
ValuationMedian of 792 companies with a value15 (median 52)37 below the median
StabilityMedian of 863 companies51 (median 67)16 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 863 companies58 (median 53)5 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 863 companies82 (median 59)23 above the median
MomentumMedian of 863 companies84 (median 55)29 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Software (Application)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 189 Software (Application) stocks

ETFs that hold Commvault Systems

Held by 19 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
iShares Digital Security UCITS ETFIS4S1.22%0.40%€1.9B
L&G Cyber Security UCITS ETFUSPY0.59%0.69%€3.76B
L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ0.30%0.30%€185.82M
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Mar 2026
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 20 Feb 2026)
  • Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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