Duolingo stock
DUOLNASDAQDuolingo, Inc., TechnologyISIN US26603R1068
71Score 71 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
87 / 100
Price history
−16% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 5 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 32% above it.
Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 63).
The price is 22% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 5 years: 83% (May 2025 to April 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$146.05
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$123.94
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)63
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$90.03
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$209.08
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Duolingo, Inc. belongs to the Software (Application) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $7.69B, is number 59 of 189 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.04B (up 38.7% year on year) and earnings of $414.07M (up 367.5%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.22B (up 17.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.76 (down 67.6%).
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- MEQIRI Score 71 out of 100 (Strong): rank 205 of 857 in Technology, median 61.
- The P/E is 57.2 (Software (Application) median 30.8, own median of recent years 89.2).
- Our model puts fair value at $86.44, with the price 90% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 45% a year since 2020, Software (Application) median 17.3%.Growth 83
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 275% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 73
- More cash than debtCash $1.37B, financial debt $84.22M.Stability 78
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 28% since 2020.Capital allocation 54
- Volatile share priceVolatility 63% a year over the last 12 months.
Its standout strengths are technical analysis and growth, while valuation holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 70 to 71.
Fundamentals are strong, with strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $57.62 and expensive above $172.87 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $84.63 (cash-flow model) and $88.25 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.6%. At 10.6% the fair value would be $81.25, at 8.6% it would be $93.74.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (30.8).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 22.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2019, at around 56% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 72%, operating 14%, net 40%. Last 12 months: net 12%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 25 Feb 2027in 105 days
- Last reported
- 3 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.54 (expected $0.57)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $2.76+0.1%
- Revenue
- $1.22B+0.9%
- Earnings per share
- $3.39+0.5%
- Revenue
- $1.39B+1.6%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −11.0%Adjusted EBITDA margin target raised to 26.5% (from 25%), gross margin closer to 70% instead of 69%; bookings (10% to 12%) and revenue (15% to 18%) targets unchanged.
“We continue to execute to our full year bookings and revenue target ranges of 10% to 12% bookings growth and 15% to 18% revenue growth. We have increased our target adjusted EBITDA outlook to 26.5% from the 25% we outlined at the start of the year.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 5 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 5 insiders sold, $40.77M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Chen Stephen C.Sale
4 Nov 2026, General Counsel
- Shares
- 3,700
- Price
- $175.00
- Value
- $647,500
- Gordon William BSale
2 Nov 2026, Board
- Shares
- 10,000
- Price
- $136.38
- Value
- $1.36M
- von Ahn LuisSale
7 Oct 2026, 10 percent owner, officer: President & CEO, Co-Founder
- Shares
- 110,046
- Price
- $151.70
- Value
- $16.69M
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- von Ahn LuisSale
24 Sept 2026, 10 percent owner, officer: President & CEO, Co-Founder
- Shares
- 46,682
- Price
- $150.63
- Value
- $7.03M
- von Ahn LuisSale
22 Sept 2026, 10 percent owner, officer: President & CEO, Co-Founder
- Shares
- 3,614
- Price
- $151.91
- Value
- $548,996
- von Ahn LuisSale
21 Sept 2026, 10 percent owner, officer: President & CEO, Co-Founder
- Shares
- 37,366
- Price
- $150.53
- Value
- $5.62M
- von Ahn LuisSale
16 Sept 2026, 10 percent owner, officer: President & CEO, Co-Founder
- Shares
- 28,292
- Price
- $150.22
- Value
- $4.25M
- Chen Stephen C.Sale
14 Sept 2026, General Counsel
- Shares
- 8,072
- Price
- $149.33
- Value
- $1.21M
- Gordon William BSale
8 Sept 2026, Board
- Shares
- 10,000
- Price
- $145.67
- Value
- $1.46M
- Glance NatalieSale
18 Aug 2026, Chief Engineering Officer
- Shares
- 1,539
- Price
- $137.80
- Value
- $212,079
- Glance NatalieSale
17 Aug 2026, Chief Engineering Officer
- Shares
- 2,751
- Price
- $129.13
- Value
- $355,237
- Meese RobertSale
17 Aug 2026, Chief Business Officer
- Shares
- 1,354
- Price
- $129.13
- Value
- $174,842
- Chen Stephen C.Sale
17 Aug 2026, General Counsel
- Shares
- 1,024
- Price
- $129.13
- Value
- $132,229
- Chen Stephen C.Sale
18 May 2026, General Counsel
- Shares
- 1,977
- Price
- $113.61
- Value
- $224,603
- Glance NatalieSale
18 May 2026, Chief Engineering Officer
- Shares
- 3,360
- Price
- $113.59
- Value
- $381,656
- Chen Stephen C.Sale
15 May 2026, General Counsel
- Shares
- 820
- Price
- $112.16
- Value
- $91,971
- Glance NatalieSale
15 May 2026, Chief Engineering Officer
- Shares
- 1,929
- Price
- $112.16
- Value
- $216,357
- Meese RobertSale
15 May 2026, Chief Business Officer
- Shares
- 1,420
- Price
- $112.16
- Value
- $159,267
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Duolingo
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
857 rated companies in Technology
- This company
- 71
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Software (Application)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- AppFolioAPPF $7.97B77
- ServiceTitanTTAN $7.89B47
- GitLabGTLB $7.88B44
- InterDigitalIDCC $7.74B78
- Empyrean Technology301269.SZ $7.45B40
- Horizon Robotics9660.HK $7.3B43
- Shanghai Baosight Software600845.SS $7.12B45
- Commvault SystemsCVLT $6.82B62
ETFs that hold Duolingo
Held by 10 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.19% | 0.30% | €5.27B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.09% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.07% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
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| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.06% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.04% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.01% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
| Vanguard ESG Global All Cap UCITS ETF (USD) AccumulatingV3AA | 0.01% | 0.24% | €1.69B |
| Vanguard FTSE Global All-Cap UCITS ETF Accum USDVGLA | 0.00% | 0.07% | €3.9B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong since 10 Nov 2026, previously Neutral
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 11 Nov 2026, previously Overvalued
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.