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Carpenter Technology stock

CRSNYSE

Carpenter Technology Corporation, Basic MaterialsISIN US1442851036

$299.55▼ $5.31 (−1.7%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

62Score 62 out of 100, Neutral

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Price and trend

43 / 100

Price history

−9.8% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 32% below it.

Trend change

Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 56).

Distance to the high

The price is 52% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 85% (December 2007 to November 2008).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$367.49
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$441.58
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)56
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$278.31
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$619.25
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$15.1B
Div. yield
0.26%
12 months
26.8
21.1
on earnings for the next twelve months ($14.45 per share)
Fair value
no data

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Carpenter Technology Corporation belongs to the Steel industry (United States) and, with a market value of $14.84B, is number 10 of 43 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $3.12B (up 8.6% year on year) and earnings of $529.8M (up 40.9%).
  • For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $3.45B (up 10.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $13.51 (up 25.6%).
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  • MEQIRI Score 62 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 174 of 467 in Basic Materials, median 58.
  • The P/E is 26.3 (Steel median 17, own median of recent years 36.9).

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 24 years.Capital allocation 65
  • Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 16.2% a year since 2021, Steel median 6.7%.Growth 72
  • High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 23.4% in fiscal 2026, Steel median 2.2%.Profitability 72

Weaknesses

  • Margin may fall backOperating margin 22.5%, average of the prior years 5.2%, which ranged from −16.8% to 18.1%. After peaks like this, the margin was more than a quarter lower two years later in 44 of 100 cases, against 24 of 100 for other companies with high margins.
  • Volatile share priceVolatility 49% a year over the last 12 months.
62/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are stability and growth, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.

Profit consistency80% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)60%
ROIC (12 months)24.0%
Positive free cash flow80% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.

From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • price far below its 52-week high
  • high price swings
  • cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest

Valuation

Valuation signal

Fairly valued
Price
$304.86
Fair value
not meaningful
Gap to fair value
no data

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

A fair value is not meaningful here, so the signal follows the valuation grade.

Valuation metrics

1.97
17.8
Fair value (model)
no data

The model puts the fair value at less than a quarter of the share price. That says more about the assumptions than about the company, so a fair value is not meaningful here and the valuation relies on the P/E and the other metrics.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 10.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2007.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2026: gross 31%, operating 22%, net 17%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.32
18.4x
3.94
Cash & equivalents
$159.5M

The balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.

Earnings

Next earnings
28 Jan 2027in 76 days
Last reported
22 Oct 2026EPS reported $3.25 (expected $3.04)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20276 analysts
Earnings per share
$13.51+0.7%
Revenue
$3.45B−1.5%
Fiscal 20285 analysts
Earnings per share
$16.05+0.1%
Revenue
$3.79B−1.6%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: −2.1%

Demand is expected to accelerate further and cash generation to keep increasing; no change in expectations stated for the first quarter of fiscal 2027.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“For the upcoming first quarter of fiscal year 2027, we expect corporate costs to be roughly in line with our recent fourth quarter.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 30 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q4 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 4 insiders sold, $54.76M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Karol Steven ESale

    4 Sept 2026, Board

    Shares
    3,275
    Price
    $474.08
    Value
    $1.55M
  • Thene Tony RSale

    25 Aug 2026, Chairman, President and CEO

    Shares
    109,283
    Price
    $483.84
    Value
    $52.88M
  • Younessi RaminSale

    21 Aug 2026, Board

    Shares
    438
    Price
    $493.15
    Value
    $216,001
Show 1 more
  • Hart Anastasios JohnSale

    28 May 2026, Board

    Shares
    250
    Price
    $461.88
    Value
    $115,470

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Carpenter Technology

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

467 rated companies in Basic Materials

Rank 174 of 467
174/ 467
This company
62
Sector median
58

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 467 companies72 (median 49)23 above the median
GrowthMedian of 467 companies72 (median 54)18 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 467 companies71 (median 65)6 above the median
ValuationMedian of 426 companies with a value51 (median 69)18 below the median
StabilityMedian of 467 companies79 (median 67)12 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 467 companies65 (median 52)13 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 467 companies43 (median 54)11 below the median
MomentumMedian of 467 companies24 (median 51)27 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Steel

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 43 Steel stocks

ETFs that hold Carpenter Technology

Held by 65 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY40.41%0.30%€5.27B
Deka MSCI USA MC UCITS ETFEL410.25%0.30%€51.58M
iShares MSCI USA Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETFQDVC0.20%0.20%€268.74M
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2026, period end 30 Jun 2026
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 14 Aug 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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