Nippon Steel stock
5401.TJPXNippon Steel Corporation, Basic MaterialsISIN JP3381000003
58Score 58 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
83 / 100
Price history
+14% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 12% above it.
Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 73).
The price is at its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 92% (July 2007 to April 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$4.19
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$3.89
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)73
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$3.33
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$4.41
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Nippon Steel Corporation belongs to the Steel industry (Japan) and, with a market value of $22.84B, is number 6 of 42 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $63.01B (up 15.7% year on year) and earnings of $107.44M (down 95.1%).
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $70.89B (up 12.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.38 (up 1,763.4%).
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- MEQIRI Score 58 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 222 of 461 in Basic Materials, median 57.
- The P/E is 10.6 (Steel median 14.5, own median of recent years 8.7).
- Our model puts fair value at $3.29, with the price 34% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 15.8% a year since 2021, Steel median 10.2%.Growth 65
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 3.41%, Steel median 1.07%.Capital allocation 52
Weaknesses
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$1.08B over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 47
- Margin fallingOperating margin 4.5%, average of the prior years 7.4% (to 2025).Profitability 32
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 2.7 times.Stability 64
Its standout strengths are technical analysis and momentum, while fundamentals and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk not measured
How well MEQIRI warnsFor stocks from Japan, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea, Canada, India and Brazil we only show crash risk once a separate backtest shows that it warns as well there as in the US and Europe.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedClosing price of 12 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $2.35 and expensive above $5.48 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $0.62 (cash-flow model) and $5.95 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 11.3%. At 12.3% the fair value would be $3.26, at 10.3% it would be $3.32.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (14.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 25.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2007, at about 5% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 14%, operating 4%, net 0%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 11 Feb 2027in 90 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.22 (expected $0.10)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2028 earnings estimate by 3.9% since 23 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $0.38+9.5%
- Revenue
- $70.89B−1.7%
- Earnings per share
- $0.46+3.9%
- Revenue
- $72.38B−3.5%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 23 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
What happened at Nippon Steel
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
461 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 58
- Sector median
- 57
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Steel
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- ArcelorMittalMT.AS $49.13B54
- JSW SteelJSWSTEEL.NS $35.08B70
- Steel DynamicsSTLD $33.72B74
- Tata SteelTATASTEEL.NS $24.94B61
- RelianceRS $22.09B76
- Baoshan Iron & Steel600019.SS $19.73B51
- POSCO HoldingsPKX $15.84B37
- Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union600010.SS $14.95B31
ETFs that hold Nippon Steel
Held by 93 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xtrackers MSCI Japan ESG UCITS ETF 1CXZMJ | 0.81% | 0.20% | €2.71B |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Materials UCITS ETF 1CXDWM | 0.70% | 0.25% | €720.77M |
| WisdomTree Japan Equity UCITS ETF USD HedgedWTDX | 0.67% | 0.48% | €796.64M |
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| Xtrackers MSCI Japan Screened UCITS ETF 1DXDNY | 0.46% | 0.15% | €457.17M |
| UBS Core MSCI Japan UCITS ETF JPY dis DistributionUIM5 | 0.43% | 0.12% | €7.18B |
| Amundi Prime Japan UCITS ETF DR (D)PR1J | 0.38% | 0.05% | €4.34B |
| Amundi Japan TOPIX II UCITS ETF EUR DistLYY4 | 0.34% | 0.45% | €633.4M |
| Vanguard FTSE Japan UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccumulatingVJPE | 0.32% | 0.13% | €4.58B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 13 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Mar 2026
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = ¥159.70)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 17 Jul 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 12 Nov 2026, previously Overvalued
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.