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Crocs stock

CROXNASDAQ

Crocs, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US2270461096

$156.88▼ $3.10 (−1.9%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

84Score 84 out of 100, Strong

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Price and trend

80 / 100

Price history

+111% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 39% above it.

Trend change

Since April 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 81).

Distance to the high

The price is 2.1% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 99% (October 2007 to November 2008).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$126.77
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$113.17
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)81
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$73.39
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$160.23
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$7.17B
Div. yield
no dividend
11.3
9.9
on earnings for the next twelve months ($15.91 per share)
Fair value
$320.65

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Crocs, Inc. belongs to the Apparel (Footwear & Accessories) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $7.17B, is number 7 of 20 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $4.04B (down 1.5% year on year) and a loss of $81.2M.
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $4.17B (up 3.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $14.63 (up 17.6%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 84 out of 100 (Strong): rank 4 of 596 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
  • The P/E is 11.3 (Apparel (Footwear & Accessories) median 17.5, own median of recent years 11.7).
  • Our model puts fair value at $320.65, with the price 51% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 23.9% a year since 2020, Apparel (Footwear & Accessories) median 7%.Growth 95
  • Below fair valuePrice 51% below the fair value of $320.65.Valuation 82
  • Share buybacksShare count down 20% since 2020.Capital allocation 89

Weaknesses

  • Margin fallingOperating margin 3.7%, average of the prior years 24.9% (to 2024).
  • Turned to a lossEarnings per share from $4.64 in 2020 to −$1.50.
  • Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.8 times.Stability 43
84/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Strong

Its standout strengths are momentum and growth, while stability holds the score back.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency80% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)113%
ROIC (12 months)25.1%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
  • price up very strongly over the past year

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals
  • price near its 52-week high
  • stable momentum

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly undervalued
Price
$156.88
Fair value
$320.65
Gap to fair value
−51%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $229.03 and expensive above $534.41 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $398.29 (cash-flow model) and $243.00 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $286.63, at 7.8% it would be $371.73.

Valuation metrics

2.48
9.1
Fair value (model)
$320.65
Earnings part $243.00 (earnings per share $13.85 × 17.5)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (17.5).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 0.7% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 14% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 58%, operating 4%, net −2%. Last 12 months: net 16%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
1.24
1.8x
1.44
Cash & equivalents
$163.46M

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
11 Feb 2027in 90 days
Last reported
29 Oct 2026EPS reported $3.69 (expected $3.31)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 7.7% since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202610 analysts
Earnings per share
$14.63+4.8%
Revenue
$4.17B+1.8%
Fiscal 202710 analysts
Earnings per share
$16.11+7.7%
Revenue
$4.33B+3.1%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: +25.8%

Crocs raised its full-year 2026 outlook for the third time: revenue now up about 3% instead of 1 to 2%, adjusted EPS now $14.45 to $14.65 versus $13.70 to $14 before, and HEYDUDE is now expected roughly flat instead of down 2 to 4%.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“As a result, we are raising our full year 2026 revenue guidance from up 1%-2% to up approximately 3%.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

2 insiders bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $612,570 in total. 4 insiders sold, $20.79M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Treff Douglas JSale

    4 Nov 2026, Board

    Shares
    10,714
    Price
    $159.21
    Value
    $1.71M
  • Rees AndrewSale

    3 Nov 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    40,000
    Price
    $152.89
    Value
    $6.12M
  • Treff Douglas JSale

    2 Nov 2026, Board

    Shares
    14,802
    Price
    $152.20
    Value
    $2.25M
Show 8 more
  • Campbell Rupert GeorgeSale

    30 Oct 2026, EVP, Brand President, HEYDUDE

    Shares
    2,645
    Price
    $150.87
    Value
    $399,055
  • Frasch RonaldSale

    30 Oct 2026, Board

    Shares
    15,000
    Price
    $153.51
    Value
    $2.3M
  • Smach Thomas JPurchase

    15 Sept 2026, Board

    Shares
    680
    Price
    $111.49
    Value
    $75,813
  • Kaplan Beth JPurchase

    15 Sept 2026, Board

    Shares
    885
    Price
    $112.12
    Value
    $99,228
  • Smach Thomas JPurchase

    10 Sept 2026, Board

    Shares
    4,000
    Price
    $109.38
    Value
    $437,530
  • Rees AndrewSale

    10 Aug 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    19,072
    Price
    $138.91
    Value
    $2.65M
  • Rees AndrewSale

    7 Aug 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    10,928
    Price
    $137.76
    Value
    $1.51M
  • Rees AndrewSale

    5 Jun 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    32,688
    Price
    $118.09
    Value
    $3.86M

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

Sector comparison

596 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical

Rank 4 of 596
4/ 596
This company
84
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 596 companies90 (median 53)37 above the median
GrowthMedian of 596 companies95 (median 60)35 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 596 companies89 (median 73)16 above the median
ValuationMedian of 575 companies with a value82 (median 73)9 above the median
StabilityMedian of 596 companies43 (median 62)19 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 596 companies89 (median 59)30 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 596 companies80 (median 62)18 above the median
MomentumMedian of 596 companies96 (median 60)36 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Apparel (Footwear & Accessories)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 20 Apparel (Footwear & Accessories) stocks

ETFs that hold Crocs

Held by 13 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Jul 2026)
  • Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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