Bumble stock
BMBLNASDAQBumble Inc., Communication ServicesISIN US12047B1052
51Score 51 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
81 / 100
Price history
+54% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 6 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 73% above it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 63).
The price is at its 52-week high. Largest decline in 6 years: 97% (February 2021 to October 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$4.25
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$3.46
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)63
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$2.50
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$6.01
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Bumble Inc. belongs to the Internet Content & Information industry (United States) and, with a market value of $803.1M, is number 38 of 46 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $965.66M (down 9.9% year on year) and a loss of $693.14M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $834.09M (down 13.6%) and adjusted earnings per share of −$0.10.
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 51 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 156 of 232 in Communication Services, median 58.
- Our model puts fair value at $4.29, with the price 40% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
None of our strength checks applies.
Weaknesses
- Margin may fall backOperating margin 26.3%, average of the prior years 0.9%, which ranged from −3.9% to 24.1%. After peaks like this, the margin was more than a quarter lower two years later in 44 of 100 cases, against 24 of 100 for other companies with high margins.Profitability 29
- Loss-makingLoss of $537.01M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 45
- Volatile share priceVolatility 99% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 57
Its standout strengths are momentum and technical analysis, while capital allocation and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 52 to 51.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- weak fundamentals
- price up very strongly over the past year
What lowers it
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $2.86 and expensive above $8.58 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 11.5%. At 12.5% the fair value would be $3.92, at 10.5% it would be $4.76.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 14.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2018, at around 15% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 68%, operating 26%, net −72%. Last 12 months: net −63%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterModerate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 10 Mar 2027in 118 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.20 (expected $0.24)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- −$0.10+0.5%
- Revenue
- $834.09M0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $0.90−0.1%
- Revenue
- $805.77M+0.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −10.9%New product rollout moves to early 2027 due to a data migration delay, adjusted EBITDA margin expected to keep normalizing lower with higher investment; no new numeric guidance given.
“Given the data migration delay, we now expect to begin rolling this out in very early 2027.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 5 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 3 insiders sold, $49.22M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- BX Buzz ML-1 Holdco L.P., BCP Buzz Holdings L.P., Btoa - Nq L.l.c., Blackstone Holdings III GP Management L.L.C., BX Buzz ML-1 GP LLCSale
13 Oct 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 2,763,510
- Price
- $3.54
- Value
- $9.79M
- Hsiao Sissie L.Sale
6 Oct 2026, Board
- Shares
- 2,707
- Price
- $2.57
- Value
- $6,957
- BX Buzz ML-1 Holdco L.P., BCP Buzz Holdings L.P., Btoa - Nq L.l.c., Blackstone Holdings III GP Management L.L.C., BX Buzz ML-1 GP LLCSale
28 Sept 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 3,767,776
- Price
- $2.94
- Value
- $11.07M
Show 3 more
- BX Buzz ML-1 Holdco L.P., BCP Buzz Holdings L.P., Btoa - Nq L.l.c., Blackstone Holdings III GP Management L.L.C., BX Buzz ML-1 GP LLCSale
16 Jun 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 7,477,500
- Price
- $3.78
- Value
- $28.23M
- Hsiao Sissie L.Sale
9 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 22,013
- Price
- $2.79
- Value
- $61,465
- Mather AnnSale
9 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 22,013
- Price
- $2.79
- Value
- $61,458
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Bumble
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
232 rated companies in Communication Services
- This company
- 51
- Sector median
- 58
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Internet Content & Information
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- OperaOPRA $1.42B67
- WEBTOON EntertainmentWBTN $1.36B36
- YelpYELP $1.12B72
- EverQuoteEVER $1.02B76
- Nextdoor HoldingsNXDR $789.04M49
- MediaAlphaMAX $762.03M64
- Cars.comCARS $753.57M66
- Hello GroupMOMO $684.31M61
ETFs that hold Bumble
Held by 3 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Digitalisation UCITS ETF2B79 | 0.03% | 0.40% | €726.22M |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.02% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.02% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral since 10 Nov 2026, previously Weak
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.