Aryzta stock
ARYN.SWSIXAryzta AG, Consumer DefensiveISIN CH1425684714
51Score 51 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
51 / 100
Price history
−19% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 19% below it.
Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 53).
The price is 34% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 98% (July 2014 to April 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$47.45
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$62.29
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)53
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$43.92
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$77.12
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Aryzta AG belongs to the Packaged Foods industry (Switzerland) and, with a market value of $1.25B, is number 58 of 75 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.49B (up 2% year on year) and earnings of $125.77M (down 12.8%).
- MEQIRI Score 51 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 228 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
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- The P/E is 12.5 (Packaged Foods median 18.7, own median of recent years 16.7).
- Our model puts fair value at $85.76, with the price 42% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Below fair valuePrice 42% below the fair value of $85.76.Valuation 94
- Modestly valuedP/E 12.5, Packaged Foods median 18.7, own median 16.7.Valuation 94
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 110% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 62
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 1.29 times equity (fiscal 2025), Packaged Foods median 0.65.Stability 45
Its standout strength is valuation, while capital allocation and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 52 to 51.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $65.97 and expensive above $122.51 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $96.06 (cash-flow model) and $75.46 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.1%. At 8.1% the fair value would be $78.81, at 6.1% it would be $96.11.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (18.7).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In fiscal 2025, revenue rose 2% on the prior year. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 11% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 32%, operating 8%, net 5%.
Debt & balance sheet
Fiscal 2025Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 1 Mar 2027in 109 days
- Last reported
- 10 Aug 2026EPS reported 1.69
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 7.5% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- 3.47−20.7%
- Revenue
- $2.44B−3.4%
- Earnings per share
- 4.5−7.5%
- Revenue
- $2.47B−4.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −15.5%Organic growth is targeted at the lower end of the guidance range, and further EBITDA and EBIT improvement is reiterated.
“We are targeting to achieve organic growth at the lower end of the guidance range, reiterate expectation to deliver further EBITDA and EBIT improvement, and we expect to deliver solid cash generation and an improvement in net debt to EBITDA.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 10 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
What happened at Aryzta
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 51
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Packaged Foods
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Scandi StandardSCST.ST $1.34B64
- NewPrincesNWL.MI $1.34B81
- Flowers FoodsFLO $1.33B46
- Utz BrandsUTZ $1.26B39
- ItalmobiliareITM.MI $1.19B50
- Seneca FoodsSENEA $1.19B71
- BellRing BrandsBRBR $1.16B75
- Simply Good FoodsSMPL $1.1B48
ETFs that hold Aryzta
Held by 9 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR MSCI Europe Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETF EUR AccZPRX | 0.09% | 0.30% | €810.11M |
| Xtrackers MSCI Europe Small Cap UCITS ETF 1CXXSC | 0.07% | 0.30% | €3.43B |
| Amundi MSCI Europe Small Cap ESG Broad Transition UCITS ETF DistX026 | 0.02% | 0.23% | €319.31M |
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| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.01% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.00% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| Vanguard FTSE Global All-Cap UCITS ETF Accum USDVGLA | 0.00% | 0.07% | €3.9B |
| Vanguard ESG Global All Cap UCITS ETF (USD) AccumulatingV3AA | 0.00% | 0.24% | €1.69B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI All Country World Investable Market UCITS ETF (Acc)SPYI | 0.00% | 0.17% | €8.6B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = CHF 0.8299, $1 = €0.8987)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.