Flowers Foods stock
FLONYSEFlowers Foods, Inc., Consumer DefensiveISIN US3434981011
42Score 42 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
34 / 100
Price history
−48% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 23% below it.
Since July 2024 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 47).
The price is 50% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 82% (December 2022 to September 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$6.10
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$7.81
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)47
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$5.55
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$11.96
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Flowers Foods, Inc. belongs to the Packaged Foods industry (United States) and, with a market value of $1.27B, is number 57 of 76 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $5.26B (up 3% year on year) and earnings of $83.83M (down 66.2%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $5.09B (down 3.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.78 (down 29.2%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 42 out of 100 (Weak): rank 276 of 296 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
- Our model puts fair value at $7.93, with the price 24% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow above 500% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 73
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 8.32%, Packaged Foods median 3.53%.
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 73
Weaknesses
- Margin fallingOperating margin 3.3%, average of the prior years 6.8% (to 2024).Profitability 29
- Share price fell sharplyDown 48% over the last 12 months.Momentum 27
- Analysts expect falling earningsDown 5.7% a year through 2029 (estimates from 3 analysts).Growth 27
Its standout strengths are valuation and fundamentals, while growth and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 46 to 42.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
What lowers it
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $5.66 and expensive above $13.21 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $6.71, at 7.8% it would be $9.74.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 10 Oct 2026, revenue rose 0.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 6% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 49%, operating 3%, net 2%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 11 Feb 2027in 90 days
- Last reported
- 12 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.10 (expected $0.15)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $0.78−0.4%
- Revenue
- $5.09B0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $0.70−1.4%
- Revenue
- $5.08B0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: +2.5%The second quarter missed expectations and sales are expected to fall year on year in the third quarter; the updated full-year guidance requires an improvement in the second half.
“I mean if I think about the implied performance in your updated guidance for the back half, even at the low end, it seems to imply some acceleration and some improvement certainly versus the exit rate of consumption that we saw coming out of 2Q.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 21 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $37,542 in total. One insider sold, $25,937 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Flowers Foods
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
296 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 42
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Packaged Foods
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Herbalife NutritionHLF $1.6B69
- Kri-Kri Milk IndustryKRI.AT $1.39B84
- Scandi StandardSCST.ST $1.35B64
- NewPrincesNWL.MI $1.34B81
- Utz BrandsUTZ $1.26B39
- AryztaARYN.SW $1.25B52
- ItalmobiliareITM.MI $1.24B50
- BellRing BrandsBRBR $1.19B76
ETFs that hold Flowers Foods
Held by 12 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.07% | 0.30% | €2.31B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.06% | 0.30% | €964.08M |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.04% | 0.30% | €2.22B |
Show 5 more
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.04% | 0.30% | €4.28B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.03% | 0.43% | €2.5B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.01% | 0.35% | €8.27B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.00% | 0.10% | €395.74M |
| Vanguard FTSE Global All-Cap UCITS ETF Accum USDVGLA | 0.00% | 0.07% | €3.9B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 3 Jan 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 27 Feb 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.