Simply Good Foods stock
SMPLNASDAQThe Simply Good Foods Company, Consumer DefensiveISIN US82900L1026
48Score 48 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
66 / 100
Price history
−34% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 9 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 0.9% above it.
Since May 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 61).
The price is 41% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 9 years: 79% (April 2022 to September 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$10.68
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$12.52
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)61
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$9.43
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$21.40
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- The Simply Good Foods Company belongs to the Packaged Foods industry (United States) and, with a market value of $1.1B, is number 62 of 75 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $1.36B (down 6.5% year on year) and a loss of $155.9M.
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.15B (down 15.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.52 (down 10.4%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 48 out of 100 (Weak): rank 248 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
- Our model puts fair value at $32.03, with the price 61% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
None of our strength checks applies.
Weaknesses
- Margin fallingOperating margin −13.2%, average of the prior years 16.6% (to 2025).Profitability 23
- Loss-makingLoss of $155.9M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 53
- Turned to a lossEarnings per share from $0.43 in 2021 to −$1.69.Growth 35
Its standout strength is valuation, while capital allocation and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- high price swings
What lowers it
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapIn our model the price counts as cheap below $22.88 and expensive above $53.39 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $26.64, at 7.8% it would be $40.12.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In fiscal 2026, revenue fell 6.5% on the prior year. Revenue has grown solidly since 2014, at about 11% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 33%, operating −13%, net −11%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is low, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 7 Jan 2027in 56 days
- Last reported
- 27 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.44 (expected $0.40)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 9.3% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $1.52−9.3%
- Revenue
- $1.15B−7.6%
- Earnings per share
- $1.64−8.5%
- Revenue
- $1.16B−10.5%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: +7.4%Simply Good Foods expects fiscal 2027 net sales to decline 13% to 17%, pressured by pricing actions and distribution losses, with the first quarter being the weakest.
“Moving to our fiscal year 2027 outlook, we expect net sales to decline between 13%-17%.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 27 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q4 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $117,782 in total.
- Daley Clayton C JrPurchase
14 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 10,000
- Price
- $11.78
- Value
- $117,782
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Simply Good Foods
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 48
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Packaged Foods
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- AryztaARYN.SW $1.23B51
- ItalmobiliareITM.MI $1.19B50
- Seneca FoodsSENEA $1.19B71
- BellRing BrandsBRBR $1.16B75
- SavenciaSAVE.PA $987.16M51
- Westrock CoffeeWEST $838.65M39
- AGRANA Beteiligungs-AGAGR.VI $827.42M41
- John B. Sanfilippo & SonJBSS $664.19M53
ETFs that hold Simply Good Foods
Held by 13 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.06% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.04% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.04% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
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| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.03% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.03% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.02% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| Invesco Global Buyback Achievers UCITS ETFBBCK | 0.02% | 0.39% | €188.08M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.01% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 29 Aug 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 24 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.