Allstate stock
ALLNYSEThe Allstate Corporation, Financial ServicesISIN US0200021014
88Score 88 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
86 / 100
Price history
+27% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 15% above it.
Since November 2023 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 61).
The price is 3.1% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 79% (December 2006 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$246.06
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$231.37
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)61
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$192.28
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$275.11
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- The Allstate Corporation belongs to the Insurance (Property & Casualty) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $65.99B, is number 5 of 58 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $66.46B (up 4.6% year on year) and earnings of $10.28B (up 120.3%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $60.95B (down 8.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $36.50 (up 4.4%).
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- MEQIRI Score 88 out of 100 (Strong): rank 4 of 976 in Financial Services, median 68.
- The P/E is 5.9 (Insurance (Property & Casualty) median 12.4, own median of recent years 11.1).
- Our model puts fair value at $544.42, with the price 52% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High return on equityReturn on equity 36.3% over the last 12 months.Profitability 93
- Modestly valuedP/E 5.9, Insurance (Property & Casualty) median 12.4, own median 11.1.Valuation 100
- Below fair valuePrice 52% below the fair value of $544.42.Valuation 100
Weaknesses
- Analysts expect falling earningsDown 17.8% a year through 2028 (estimates from 13 analysts).
- Margin may fall backOperating margin 19.8%, average of the prior years 9.1%, which ranged from −3.6% to 16.3%. After peaks like this, the margin was more than a quarter lower two years later in 44 of 100 cases, against 24 of 100 for other companies with high margins.
Its standout strengths are valuation and capital allocation.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are strong overall.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 9 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $418.78 and expensive above $777.74 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $531.02 (excess return model) and $557.82 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $500.17, at 7.8% it would be $610.80.
Valuation metrics
Half from the excess return model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (12.4).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 4.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 3% per year.
Margins
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: operating 20%, net 15%. Banks and insurers have no gross margin, and their net margin is not comparable with other industries. The score leaves both out.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterFor banks and insurers, deposits and liabilities are the business. Debt to equity and the current ratio say little here, and the score does not rate them.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 3 Feb 2027in 83 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported $9.76 (expected $6.89)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $36.50+2.5%
- Revenue
- $60.95B0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $28.13+0.3%
- Revenue
- $62.11B0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 6 insiders sold, $43.25M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Allstate
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
976 rated companies in Financial Services
- This company
- 88
- Sector median
- 68
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Insurance (Property & Casualty)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- ChubbCB $141.5B82
- ProgressivePGR $135.3B85
- Tokio Marine Holdings8766.T $105.94B78
- Travelers CompaniesTRV $81.87B89
- PICC Property and Casualty2328.HK $49.61B77
- People's Insurance Company (Group) of China601319.SS $47.67B60
- MS&AD Insurance Group Holdings8725.T $46.52B84
- Fairfax Financial HoldingsFFH.TO $40.5B84
ETFs that hold Allstate
Held by 121 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Invesco S&P 500 QVM UCITS ETFQVMP | 1.28% | 0.35% | €50.82M |
| Xtrackers MSCI USA Financials UCITS ETF 1DXUFN | 0.85% | 0.12% | €1.07B |
| iShares S&P 500 Financials Sector UCITS ETFQDVH | 0.83% | 0.15% | €2.17B |
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| iShares MSCI World Momentum Factor Advanced UCITS ETFCBUH | 0.82% | 0.25% | €261.8M |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Financials Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDF | 0.79% | 0.15% | €663.04M |
| Invesco Global Active ESG Equity UCITS ETF USD AccIQSA | 0.68% | 0.30% | €3.12B |
| First Trust US Large Cap Core AlphaDEX UCITS ETFFTGU | 0.53% | 0.75% | €140.24M |
| iShares Edge S&P 500 Minimum Volatility UCITS ETFIBCK | 0.50% | 0.20% | €1.97B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Jul 2024)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.