Traton stock
8TRA.DEXETRATraton SE, IndustrialsISIN DE000TRAT0N7WKN TRAT0N
58Score 58 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
77 / 100
Price history
+20% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 7 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 0.9% above it.
Since January 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 69).
The price is 16% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 7 years: 59% (July 2019 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$38.37
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$38.29
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)69
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$30.71
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$45.93
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Traton SE belongs to the Agricultural (Machinery) industry (Germany) and, with a market value of $19.32B, is number 3 of 17 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $49.02B (down 7.2% year on year) and earnings of $1.72B (down 44.8%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $51.81B (up 5.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $6.20 (up 81.6%).
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- MEQIRI Score 58 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 596 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 5.6 (Agricultural (Machinery) median 22.8, own median of recent years 7).
- Our model puts fair value at $82.89, with the price 53% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Modestly valuedP/E 5.6, Agricultural (Machinery) median 22.8, own median 7.Valuation 100
- Below fair valuePrice 53% below the fair value of $82.89.Valuation 100
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 14.3% a year since 2020, Agricultural (Machinery) median 6.5%.Growth 51
Weaknesses
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$1.7B over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 41
Its standout strengths are valuation and technical analysis, while profitability and fundamentals hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $59.21 and expensive above $138.15 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $7.85 (cash-flow model) and $157.93 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.7%. At 9.7% the fair value would be $82.22, at 7.7% it would be $83.81.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (22.8).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 1.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2016, at about 8% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 19%, operating 6%, net 4%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 9 Mar 2027in 117 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026EPS reported $3.74 (expected $1.39)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2026 earnings estimate by 12.4% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $6.20+12.4%
- Revenue
- $51.81B−0.6%
- Earnings per share
- $6.53−1.1%
- Revenue
- $55.57B−0.8%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −2.2%Traton fully confirms its 2026 full-year guidance: 0 to 7% growth in unit sales and revenue and a 6.3% to 7.3% return on sales, all ranges unchanged.
“The key ones are 0%-7% growth for both unit sales and sales revenue, and an adjusted return on sales of 6.3%-7.3% for the group.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 28 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
What happened at Traton
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 58
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Agricultural (Machinery)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- CaterpillarCAT $275.29B68
- DeereDE $186.51B64
- Kubota6326.T $17.91B63
- CNH IndustrialCNH $15.46B50
- Sinotruk (Hong Kong)3808.HK $12.33B66
- Ashok LeylandASHOKLEY.NS $10.9B60
- OshkoshOSK $8.61B73
- AGCOAGCO $7.91B54
ETFs that hold Traton
Held by 28 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deka DAXplus Maximum Dividend UCITS ETFEL4X | 1.80% | 0.30% | €252.82M |
| Amundi MDAX ESG II UCITS ETF DistE907 | 1.74% | 0.30% | €89.52M |
| Xtrackers MDAX ESG Screened UCITS ETF 1DXDGM | 1.65% | 0.40% | €74.55M |
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| Deka MDAX UCITS ETFELF1 | 1.42% | 0.30% | €354.36M |
| Amundi F.A.Z. 100 UCITS ETFC006 | 0.69% | 0.15% | €103.2M |
| WisdomTree Eurozone Quality Dividend Growth UCITS ETF EUR AccWTIM | 0.67% | 0.29% | €49.19M |
| Amundi DAX 50 ESG II UCITS ETF DistE909 | 0.20% | 0.15% | €323.69M |
| WisdomTree Global Quality Dividend Growth UCITS ETF USD AccWTEM | 0.13% | 0.38% | €1.5B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.8987)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.