AGCO stock
AGCONYSEAGCO Corporation, IndustrialsISIN US0010841023
52Score 52 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
52 / 100
Price history
+2.7% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 4.2% below it.
Since July 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 57).
The price is 21% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 79% (December 2007 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$113.66
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$116.31
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)57
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$98.45
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$140.49
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- AGCO Corporation belongs to the Agricultural (Machinery) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $7.68B, is number 9 of 17 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $9.95B (down 1.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $5.52 (up 4.5%).
- MEQIRI Score 52 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 751 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
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- The P/E is 27.7 (Agricultural (Machinery) median 23.1, own median of recent years 15.4).
- Our model puts fair value at $85.07, with the price 31% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 23.5% a year through 2028 (estimates from 12 analysts).
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 13 years.Capital allocation 68
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 105% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 77
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strength is fundamentals, while profitability and growth hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 54 to 52.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What lowers it
- low growth grade (crashed less often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $65.44 and expensive above $121.53 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $77.44 (cash-flow model) and $92.70 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $78.23, at 7.8% it would be $95.36.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (23.1).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 0.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 3% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 25%, operating 7%, net 7%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 4 Feb 2027in 83 days
- Last reported
- 29 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.05 (expected $0.87)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 4.7% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $5.52−2.1%
- Revenue
- $9.95B−2.1%
- Earnings per share
- $7.03−4.7%
- Revenue
- $10.42B−2.7%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: +8.6%AGCO lowered its 2026 sales outlook to $9.8 to $10 billion and now expects a 4% decline in global industry demand, citing weaker demand in Europe and Latin America.
“Based on our updated market outlook and key assumptions, we now expect full-year net sales of between $9.8 billion and $10 billion.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $100,710 in total. 5 insiders sold, $60.72M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Dehner Torsten Rudolf WilliSale
9 Nov 2026, SVP GM Fendt/Valtra
- Shares
- 15,000
- Price
- $112.50
- Value
- $1.69M
- Dehner Torsten Rudolf WilliSale
6 Nov 2026, SVP GM Fendt/Valtra
- Shares
- 12,393
- Price
- $110.00
- Value
- $1.36M
- Harris Ivory MarieSale
15 Sept 2026, SVP Chief HR Officer
- Shares
- 1,600
- Price
- $125.30
- Value
- $200,480
Show 5 more
- Bennett Kelvin EugeneSale
4 Sept 2026, SVP Engineering
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $132.89
- Value
- $132,890
- Hansotia Eric PSale
4 Sept 2026, Chairman, President and CEO
- Shares
- 2,604
- Price
- $129.75
- Value
- $337,869
- De Lange BobPurchase
14 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $100.71
- Value
- $100,710
- Bennett Kelvin EugeneSale
6 Aug 2026, SVP Engineering
- Shares
- 2,000
- Price
- $102.27
- Value
- $204,540
- Tractors & Farm Equipment LtdSale
5 Aug 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 492,418
- Price
- $115.33
- Value
- $56.79M
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at AGCO
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1018 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 52
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Agricultural (Machinery)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- CNH IndustrialCNH $14.79B49
- Sinotruk (Hong Kong)3808.HK $12.01B66
- Ashok LeylandASHOKLEY.NS $10.86B60
- OshkoshOSK $8.56B72
- Federal SignalFSS $7.02B77
- Comer IndustriesCOM.MI $1.43B69
- LindsayLNN $1.1B62
- Aebi Schmidt HoldingAEBI $794.66M46
ETFs that hold AGCO
Held by 15 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.19% | 0.30% | €964.08M |
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.19% | 0.30% | €5.36B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.07% | 0.43% | €2.5B |
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| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.07% | 0.45% | €1.54B |
| WisdomTree US Quality Dividend Growth UCITS ETF USD AccWTDM | 0.07% | 0.33% | €721.26M |
| Invesco RAFI All-World Fundamental Value UCITS ETFPSWD | 0.04% | 0.39% | €452.87M |
| Invesco RAFI US Fundamental Value UCITS ETF6PSA | 0.04% | 0.39% | €1.25B |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.02% | 0.25% | €178.55M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 6 Mar 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.