Federal Signal stock
FSSNYSEFederal Signal Corporation, IndustrialsISIN US3138551086
77Score 77 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
66 / 100
Price history
+3.5% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 0.7% below it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 53).
The price is 14% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 79% (February 2007 to November 2011).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$114.76
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$115.83
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)53
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$104.77
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$133.86
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Federal Signal Corporation belongs to the Agricultural (Machinery) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $7.02B, is number 10 of 17 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.18B (up 17.1% year on year) and earnings of $246.6M (up 14%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.63B (up 20.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $5.25 (up 24.1%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 77 out of 100 (Strong): rank 36 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 23.8 (Agricultural (Machinery) median 22.8, own median of recent years 22.5).
- Our model puts fair value at $113.37, with the price 3% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 20.6% a year since 2020.Growth 91
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 95
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 12 years.Capital allocation 76
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and growth.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 76 to 77.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 14 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $87.21 and expensive above $161.96 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $116.87 (cash-flow model) and $109.88 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $103.28, at 7.8% it would be $128.53.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (22.8).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 24% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 3% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 29%, operating 16%, net 11%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 24 Feb 2027in 104 days
- Last reported
- 29 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.34 (expected $1.32)in line with expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $5.25+0.4%
- Revenue
- $2.63B−0.4%
- Earnings per share
- $5.81+0.6%
- Revenue
- $2.79B0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook mixed
Share price after the results: −0.7%Federal Signal raised its full-year adjusted EPS outlook to $5.20 to $5.32 from $5.12 to $5.30, but narrowed the net sales outlook to $2.61 billion to $2.64 billion from $2.58 billion to $2.67 billion due to anticipated delays in third-party refuse truck deliveries.
“Primarily due to anticipated delays in deliveries of third-party refuse trucks, we are also narrowing our full-year net sales outlook to a new range of between $2.61 billion and $2.64 billion from the prior range of between $2.58 billion and $2.67 billion.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 2 insiders sold, $3.29M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Federal Signal
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 77
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Agricultural (Machinery)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Sinotruk (Hong Kong)3808.HK $12.33B66
- Ashok LeylandASHOKLEY.NS $10.9B60
- OshkoshOSK $8.61B73
- AGCOAGCO $7.91B54
- Comer IndustriesCOM.MI $1.43B69
- LindsayLNN $1.11B61
- Aebi Schmidt HoldingAEBI $830.35M43
- Rosenbauer InternationalROS.VI $712.75M57
ETFs that hold Federal Signal
Held by 13 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.41% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.24% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.23% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
Show 5 more
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.21% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.08% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.07% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.05% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI All Country World Investable Market UCITS ETF (Acc)SPYI | 0.05% | 0.17% | €8.6B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 25 Apr 2025)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.