Toto stock
5332.TJPXToto Ltd., Basic MaterialsISIN JP3596200000
64Score 64 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
47 / 100
Price history
+46% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 11% below it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 52).
The price is 39% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 70% (February 2007 to February 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$36.56
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$39.84
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)52
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$23.76
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$58.33
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Toto Ltd. belongs to the Construction Materials industry (Japan) and, with a market value of $5.82B, is number 31 of 63 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $4.62B (up 1.8% year on year) and earnings of $252.08M (up 230.8%).
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $4.87B (up 5.6%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.83 (up 20.4%).
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- MEQIRI Score 64 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 140 of 461 in Basic Materials, median 57.
- The P/E is 17.6 (Construction Materials median 27.6, own median of recent years 22.8).
- Our model puts fair value at $64.97, with the price 45% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Below fair valuePrice 45% below the fair value of $64.97.Valuation 84
- More cash than debtCash $720.93M, financial debt $153.81M.Stability 81
- Modestly valuedP/E 17.6, Construction Materials median 27.6, own median 22.8.Valuation 84
Weaknesses
- Volatile share priceVolatility 47% a year over the last 12 months.
Its standout strengths are valuation and stability, while technical analysis holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk not measured
How well MEQIRI warnsFor stocks from Japan, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea, Canada, India and Brazil we only show crash risk once a separate backtest shows that it warns as well there as in the US and Europe.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 12 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $46.41 and expensive above $108.29 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $74.41 (cash-flow model) and $55.54 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 6.1%. At 7.1% the fair value would be $58.01, at 5.1% it would be $75.49.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (27.6).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 4.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2007.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 36%, operating 7%, net 5%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 29 Jan 2027in 77 days
- Last reported
- 30 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.55 (expected $0.55)in line with expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 28 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $1.83−0.5%
- Revenue
- $4.87B−0.7%
- Earnings per share
- $2.21−1.2%
- Revenue
- $5.12B−0.8%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 28 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
What happened at Toto
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
461 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 64
- Sector median
- 57
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Construction Materials
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Huaxin Cement600801.SS $7.16B66
- RockwoolROCK-B.CO $6.64B65
- Builders FirstSourceBLDR $6.47B47
- TCC Group1101.TW $6.19B43
- Fortune Brands InnovationsFBIN $5.64B59
- Eagle MaterialsEXP $5.54B66
- TrexTREX $5.28B75
- Sanwa Holdings5929.T $5.09B77
ETFs that hold Toto
Held by 34 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares MSCI Japan Small Cap UCITS ETFIUS4 | 0.36% | 0.58% | €548.59M |
| Xtrackers Nikkei 225 UCITS ETF 1DXDJP | 0.16% | 0.09% | €2.61B |
| WisdomTree Japan Equity UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTIF | 0.14% | 0.45% | €892.19M |
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| Amundi Prime Japan UCITS ETF DR (D)PR1J | 0.09% | 0.05% | €4.34B |
| Vanguard FTSE Japan UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccumulatingVJPE | 0.09% | 0.13% | €4.58B |
| iShares Core MSCI Japan IMI UCITS ETFEUNN | 0.07% | 0.12% | €7.17B |
| Amundi Japan TOPIX II UCITS ETF EUR DistLYY4 | 0.07% | 0.45% | €633.4M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.05% | 0.35% | €8.27B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 13 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 Mar 2026
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = ¥159.70)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 10 Oct 2025)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.