Trex stock
TREXNYSETrex Company, Inc., Basic MaterialsISIN US89531P1057
76Score 76 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
89 / 100
Price history
+60% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 21% above it.
Since June 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 55).
The price is 10% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 80% (February 2007 to November 2007).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$47.13
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$43.62
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)55
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$30.13
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$58.74
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Trex Company, Inc. belongs to the Construction Materials industry (United States) and, with a market value of $5.28B, is number 34 of 63 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.17B (up 2% year on year) and earnings of $190.42M (down 15.9%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.24B (up 6%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.77 (down 6.3%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 76 out of 100 (Strong): rank 26 of 467 in Basic Materials, median 58.
- The P/E is 30.2 (Construction Materials median 20.7, own median of recent years 33.2).
- Our model puts fair value at $37.52, with the price 45% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 152% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 90
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 90
- Share buybacksShare count down 8% since 2020.Capital allocation 75
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are momentum and fundamentals, while valuation holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 75 to 76.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- price near its 52-week high
- stable momentum
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $26.80 and expensive above $62.54 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $38.88 (cash-flow model) and $36.16 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $34.08, at 7.8% it would be $42.70.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (20.7).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 8.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 7% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 39%, operating 22%, net 16%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 23 Feb 2027in 103 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.55 (expected $0.48)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $1.770.0%
- Revenue
- $1.24B0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $2.020.0%
- Revenue
- $1.32B−0.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +10.6%2026 net sales and adjusted EBITDA guidance raised and adjusted gross margin now about 38% versus 37.5% before; up to $150 million of additional buybacks planned.
“We now expect full year adjusted gross margin to come in at approximately 38%, up from the 37.5% we previously expected, primarily driven by higher capacity utilization with Little Rock starting production in Q3.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 4 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 3 insiders sold, $338,033 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Trex
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
467 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 76
- Sector median
- 58
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Construction Materials
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- TCC Group1101.TW $6.32B43
- Toto5332.T $5.93B64
- Fortune Brands InnovationsFBIN $5.83B59
- Eagle MaterialsEXP $5.6B67
- Sanwa Holdings5929.T $5B76
- GriffonGFF $4.87B72
- Titan Cement InternationalTITC.BR $3.85B66
- VicatVCT.PA $3.34B66
ETFs that hold Trex
Held by 11 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.34% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.17% | 0.30% | €5.27B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.07% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
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| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.06% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.05% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.02% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.01% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
| Vanguard ESG Global All Cap UCITS ETF (USD) AccumulatingV3AA | 0.01% | 0.24% | €1.69B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 15 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.