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Builders FirstSource stock

BLDRNYSE

Builders FirstSource, Inc., Basic MaterialsISIN US12008R1077

$60.12▼ $2.22 (−3.6%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

47Score 47 out of 100, Weak

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

54 / 100

Price history

−44% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 23% below it.

Trend change

Since October 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 54).

Distance to the high

The price is 53% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 96% (February 2007 to December 2008).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$58.76
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$77.57
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)54
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$50.52
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$128.96
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$6.47B
Div. yield
no dividend
159.4
earnings collapsed, on expected earnings 21.2
21.2
on earnings for the next twelve months ($2.84 per share)
Fair value
$36.36

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Builders FirstSource, Inc. belongs to the Construction Materials industry (United States) and, with a market value of $6.47B, is number 29 of 63 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $15.19B (down 7.4% year on year) and earnings of $435.2M (down 59.6%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $14.37B (down 5.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $3.66 (down 46.9%).
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  • MEQIRI Score 47 out of 100 (Weak): rank 346 of 461 in Basic Materials, median 57.
  • The P/E is 159.4 because earnings over the last twelve months collapsed; on the expected earnings of the next twelve months it is 21.2 (Construction Materials median 20.7). The P/E therefore does not count in the score.
  • Our model puts fair value at $36.36, with the price 65% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow above 500% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 75
  • Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 75
  • Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 12.2% a year since 2020, Construction Materials median 6.9%.

Weaknesses

  • Margin fallingOperating margin 5.2%, average of the prior years 12% (to 2024).Profitability 24
  • Analysts expect falling earningsDown 5.6% a year through 2028 (estimates from 11 analysts).Growth 46
  • Share price fell sharplyDown 44% over the last 12 months.Momentum 35
47/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Weak

Its standout strength is fundamentals, while momentum and profitability hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)not measured
ROIC (12 months)3.3%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk high

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • price far below its 52-week high
  • cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
  • high price swings

What lowers it

  • price not overheated over the past year

Valuation

Valuation signal

Modestly overvalued
Price
$60.12
Fair value
$36.36
Gap to fair value
+65%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $25.97 and expensive above $60.60 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.4%. At 11.4% the fair value would be $31.98, at 9.4% it would be $42.27.

Valuation metrics

402.91
12.9
Fair value (model)
$36.36

From the cash-flow model alone; after a one-off collapse in earnings there is no industry value.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 8.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 11% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 29%, operating 5%, net 3%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
1.29
2.9x
1.85
Cash & equivalents
$55.01M

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
16 Feb 2027in 95 days
Last reported
29 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.51 (expected $1.06)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 34.3% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.

Fiscal 202617 analysts
Earnings per share
$3.66+19.4%
Revenue
$14.37B+0.5%
Fiscal 202717 analysts
Earnings per share
$2.71−34.3%
Revenue
$14.08B−4.0%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: +16.2%

Builders FirstSource maintains the midpoints of its full-year net sales (14.2 to 14.6 billion) and adjusted EBITDA (1.075 to 1.125 billion) outlook, while narrowing the free cash flow range to 400 to 450 million.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We expect net sales of $14.2 billion to $14.6 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $1.075 billion to $1.125 billion, and adjusted EBITDA margin of 7.4% to 7.9%.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.

  • Rush David ESale

    8 May 2026, Board

    Shares
    5,000
    Price
    $78.17
    Value
    $390,850
  • Levy Paul SPurchase

    13 Mar 2026, Board

    Shares
    50,000
    Price
    $87.73
    Value
    $4.39M

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Builders FirstSource

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

461 rated companies in Basic Materials

Rank 346 of 461
346/ 461
This company
47
Sector median
57

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 461 companies24 (median 49)25 below the median
GrowthMedian of 461 companies46 (median 54)8 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 461 companies75 (median 65)10 above the median
ValuationMedian of 421 companies with a value41 (median 69)28 below the median
StabilityMedian of 461 companies49 (median 67)18 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 461 companies50 (median 52)2 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 461 companies54 (median 51)3 above the median
MomentumMedian of 461 companies35 (median 50)15 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Construction Materials

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 63 Construction Materials stocks

ETFs that hold Builders FirstSource

Held by 15 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS30.38%0.30%€2.31B
State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV0.26%0.30%€964.08M
Invesco Global Buyback Achievers UCITS ETFBBCK0.13%0.39%€190.04M
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Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 17 Jul 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 13 Nov 2026, previously Overvalued
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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