Warby Parker stock
WRBYNYSEWarby Parker Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US93403J1060
50Score 50 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
87 / 100
Price history
+73% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 5 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 20% above it.
Since November 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 64).
The price is at its 52-week high. Largest decline in 5 years: 84% (November 2021 to March 2023).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$25.23
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$25.12
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)64
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$16.49
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$30.34
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Warby Parker Inc. belongs to the Specialty Retail industry (United States) and, with a market value of $3.76B, is number 47 of 86 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $969.2M (up 11.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.43 (up 29.5%).
- MEQIRI Score 50 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 464 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
Show more
- Our model puts fair value at $11.61, with the price 160% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 285% of earnings over the last 12 months.
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 39.3% a year through 2028 (estimates from 6 analysts).Growth 70
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 17.2% a year since 2020, Specialty Retail median 11%.Growth 70
Weaknesses
- Above fair valuePrice 160% above the fair value of $11.61.Valuation 15
- Volatile share priceVolatility 82% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 69
- DilutionShare count up 10% since 2020.Capital allocation 29
Its standout strengths are technical analysis and momentum, while fundamentals and valuation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 51 to 50.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
- high price swings
What lowers it
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $7.74 and expensive above $23.22 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $21.86 (cash-flow model) and $1.36 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $9.67, at 7.8% it would be $14.53.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (23).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 9.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2019, at around 15% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 54%, operating −1%, net 0%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 25 Feb 2027in 105 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.04 (expected $0.09)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $0.43−0.1%
- Revenue
- $969.2M−0.2%
- Earnings per share
- $0.62+0.5%
- Revenue
- $1.13B−0.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −9.6%2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance reaffirmed.
“We are reaffirming our full year revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance, which now includes the tariff refund benefit and the additional investments we're making ahead of launch.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 6 insiders sold, $23.48M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Raider Jeffrey JacobSale
1 Oct 2026, Board
- Shares
- 15,000
- Price
- $27.70
- Value
- $415,500
- Blumenthal Neil HarrisSale
1 Oct 2026, Co-Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 100,000
- Price
- $27.69
- Value
- $2.77M
- Blumenthal Neil HarrisSale
6 Jul 2026, Co-Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 9,200
- Price
- $29.99
- Value
- $275,908
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- Gilboa David AbrahamSale
6 Jul 2026, Co-Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 54,347
- Price
- $29.84
- Value
- $1.62M
- Blumenthal Neil HarrisSale
1 Jul 2026, Co-Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 217,667
- Price
- $29.61
- Value
- $6.45M
- Gilboa David AbrahamSale
1 Jul 2026, Co-Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 242,221
- Price
- $29.69
- Value
- $7.19M
- Raider Jeffrey JacobSale
1 Jul 2026, Board
- Shares
- 22,500
- Price
- $29.72
- Value
- $668,700
- Blumenthal Neil HarrisSale
29 Jun 2026, Co-Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 36,300
- Price
- $30.04
- Value
- $1.09M
- Briggs TeresaSale
16 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 5,000
- Price
- $25.94
- Value
- $129,683
- Moon Youngme ESale
12 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 10,000
- Price
- $26.53
- Value
- $265,300
- Blumenthal Neil HarrisSale
19 May 2026, Co-Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 63,040
- Price
- $30.03
- Value
- $1.89M
- Singer Bradley ESale
14 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 4,833
- Price
- $29.01
- Value
- $140,205
- Singer Bradley ESale
13 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 20,167
- Price
- $28.51
- Value
- $574,961
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Warby Parker
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 50
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Specialty Retail
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Bath & Body WorksBBWI $4.38B69
- Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO $4.27B72
- JumboBELA.AT $4.23B84
- FielmannFIE.DE $4.05B76
- Clas OhlsonCLAS-B.ST $3.49B80
- MINISO Group HoldingMNSO $3.31B63
- LagardereMMB.PA $3.06B59
- Bob's Discount FurnitureBOBS $2.8B71
ETFs that hold Warby Parker
Held by 11 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.14% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.12% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.10% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
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| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.10% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.06% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.04% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.02% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.01% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral since 11 Nov 2026, previously Weak
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.