Winnebago Industries stock
WGONYSEWinnebago Industries, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US9746371007
51Score 51 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
64 / 100
Price history
−8.9% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 3.0% below it.
Since April 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 59).
The price is 38% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 91% (February 2007 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$27.71
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$31.99
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)59
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$22.67
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$49.85
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Winnebago Industries, Inc. belongs to the Auto (Recreational Vehicles) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $883.9M, is number 10 of 13 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $2.7B (down 3.4% year on year) and earnings of $34.5M (up 34.2%).
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.7B (down 0.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.98 (up 10.1%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 51 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 451 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 25.6 (Auto (Recreational Vehicles) median 23.5, own median of recent years 13.2).
- Our model puts fair value at $39.51, with the price 20% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 419% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 81
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 28.6% a year through 2028 (estimates from 10 analysts).
- Share buybacksShare count down 16% since 2021.Capital allocation 63
Weaknesses
- Margin fallingOperating margin 2.4%, average of the prior years 8.6% (to 2025).Profitability 22
- Earnings per share fallingDown 32% a year since 2021.Growth 8
- Revenue shrinkingRevenue down 5.7% a year since 2021.Growth 8
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and valuation, while profitability and growth hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 50 to 51.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
What lowers it
- low growth grade (crashed less often in the backtest)
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $28.22 and expensive above $65.86 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $50.43 (cash-flow model) and $28.60 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.3%. At 10.3% the fair value would be $35.46, at 8.3% it would be $45.40.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (23.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In fiscal 2026, revenue fell 3.4% on the prior year. Revenue has grown solidly since 2007, at about 6% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 13%, operating 2%, net 1%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterModerate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 18 Dec 2026in 36 days
- Last reported
- 21 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.49 (expected $0.47)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2028 earnings estimate by 14.4% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $1.98−13.8%
- Revenue
- $2.7B−3.9%
- Earnings per share
- $2.46−14.4%
- Revenue
- $2.86B−4.5%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: +15.0%Full-year guidance ranges updated to reflect a more cautious demand environment than anticipated; fourth-quarter sales are expected to be down from Q3.
“We are expecting Q4 sales to be down from Q3 or sequentially.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 25 Jun 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 3 insiders sold, $988,803 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Bogart Stacy LSale
5 Nov 2026, SVP-Chief Legal Officer
- Shares
- 14,146
- Price
- $33.73
- Value
- $477,145
- Woodson Bret ASale
19 Aug 2026, SVP-CHRO
- Shares
- 1,235
- Price
- $31.73
- Value
- $39,187
- Woodson Bret ASale
13 Aug 2026, SVP-CHRO
- Shares
- 2,414
- Price
- $32.66
- Value
- $78,841
Show 1 more
- Happe Michael JSale
13 Aug 2026, PRESIDENT & CEO
- Shares
- 12,045
- Price
- $32.68
- Value
- $393,631
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Winnebago Industries
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 51
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Auto (Recreational Vehicles)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- PolarisPII $3.78B42
- TriganoTRI.PA $2.9B71
- LCI IndustriesLCII $2.37B64
- SanlorenzoSL.MI $1.49B79
- FerrettiYACHT.MI $971.7M61
- MasterCraft Boat HoldingsMCFT $515M50
- BénéteauBEN.PA $459.14M40
- Malibu BoatsMBUU $403.39M35
ETFs that hold Winnebago Industries
Held by 12 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Ageing Population UCITS ETF2B77 | 0.08% | 0.40% | €807M |
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.05% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.05% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
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| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.05% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.03% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.03% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.03% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.01% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 29 Aug 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral since 10 Nov 2026, previously Weak
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.