Polaris stock
PIINYSEPolaris Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US7310681025
42Score 42 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
67 / 100
Price history
+1.8% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 6.4% above it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 69).
The price is 11% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 80% (November 2014 to April 2025).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$56.79
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$62.37
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)69
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$47.88
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$74.70
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Polaris Inc. belongs to the Auto (Recreational Vehicles) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $3.78B, is number 5 of 13 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $7.15B (down 0.3% year on year) and a loss of $465.5M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $7.56B (up 5.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $3.48.
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- MEQIRI Score 42 out of 100 (Weak): rank 536 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 31 years.Capital allocation 55
- Share buybacksShare count down 8% since 2020.Capital allocation 55
Weaknesses
- Margin fallingOperating margin −0.4%, average of the prior years 7.3% (to 2024).Profitability 20
- Loss-makingLoss of $206.2M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 65
- Turned to a lossEarnings per share from $2.02 in 2020 to −$8.18.Growth 19
The score is held back by profitability and growth.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What lowers it
- low growth grade (crashed less often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
OvervaluedA fair value is not meaningful here, so the signal follows the valuation grade.
Valuation metrics
The model puts the fair value at less than a quarter of the share price. That says more about the assumptions than about the company, so a fair value is not meaningful here and the valuation relies on the P/E and the other metrics.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 9.5% on the twelve months before. Up to 2020 the bars include businesses that were later spun off or sold. On a comparable basis, as restated in the SEC annual reports, revenue grew 2.6% a year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 19%, operating 0%, net −7%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 26 Jan 2027in 75 days
- Last reported
- 27 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.08 (expected $0.59)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 7.4% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $3.48+10.9%
- Revenue
- $7.56B+1.6%
- Earnings per share
- $3.17−7.4%
- Revenue
- $7.81B+1.6%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +6.3%Polaris raised its full year outlook for the third time: operational EPS now $2.40 to $2.50 versus prior $2.05 to $2.15, sales $7.55 to $7.6 billion above prior guidance, and adjusted EBITDA margin now expected up 270 to 275 basis points instead of less.
“Excluding tariff refunds, operational adjusted EPS is expected to be $2.40 to $2.50 compared with our July 28 guidance revision of $2.05 to $2.15 This increase reflects our strong third quarter performance and additional improvement in the underlying business relative to our July expectations.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 27 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Polaris
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 42
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Auto (Recreational Vehicles)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Zhejiang Cfmoto Power603129.SS $7.19B82
- BrunswickBC $5.03B57
- BRPDOO $4.66B62
- Thor IndustriesTHO $4.06B49
- TriganoTRI.PA $2.9B71
- LCI IndustriesLCII $2.37B64
- SanlorenzoSL.MI $1.49B79
- FerrettiYACHT.MI $971.7M61
ETFs that hold Polaris
Held by 20 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.31% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| iShares Ageing Population UCITS ETF2B77 | 0.30% | 0.40% | €807M |
| WisdomTree US High Dividend UCITS ETF AccWTD9 | 0.24% | 0.29% | €182.46M |
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| WisdomTree US Equity Income UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTDY | 0.23% | 0.35% | €204.34M |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.19% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Dividend Aristocrats UCITS ETF (Dist)SPYD | 0.14% | 0.35% | €3.62B |
| Xtrackers Future Mobility UCITS ETF 1CXMOV | 0.13% | 0.35% | €164.07M |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.12% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 21 Feb 2025)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.