VSE stock
VSECNASDAQVSE Corporation, IndustrialsISIN US9182841000
50Score 50 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
58 / 100
Price history
+9.7% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 1.2% below it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 77).
The price is 21% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 77% (October 2017 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$171.95
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$194.33
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)77
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$142.17
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$243.48
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- VSE Corporation belongs to the Aerospace & Defense industry (United States) and, with a market value of $6.04B, is number 65 of 114 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.11B (up 3% year on year) and earnings of $11.7M (down 61.7%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.81B (up 63.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $6.78 (up 73.8%).
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- MEQIRI Score 50 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 809 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 48 (Aerospace & Defense median 32.1, own median of recent years 21.3).
- Our model puts fair value at $103.24, with the price 86% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 32.9% a year since 2020, Aerospace & Defense median 10.6%.Growth 64
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 39 years.
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 16.5% a year through 2028 (estimates from 8 analysts).Growth 64
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 92% since 2020.Capital allocation 28
- Richly valuedP/E 48, Aerospace & Defense median 32.1, own median 21.3.Valuation 24
- Volatile share priceVolatility 60% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 66
Its standout strength is momentum, while capital allocation and valuation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- weak fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $68.82 and expensive above $206.47 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $78.30 (cash-flow model) and $128.18 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $96.25, at 7.8% it would be $113.74.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (32.1).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the quarter to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 91.2% on the same quarter a year earlier. Up to 2024 the bars include businesses that were later spun off or sold. On a comparable basis, as restated in the SEC annual reports, revenue grew 32.9% a year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 12%, operating 11%, net 1%. Last 12 months: net 7%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterModerate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 24 Feb 2027in 104 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported $2.01 (expected $1.76)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $6.78+2.7%
- Revenue
- $1.81B+0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $8.25+1.2%
- Revenue
- $2.2B+0.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +5.2%2026 revenue growth guidance raised to 61% to 64% (before: 57% to 61%) and adjusted EBITDA margin to 18.7% to 19% (before: 18.1% to 18.5%).
“We now expect full year adjusted EBITDA margin of 18.7% to 19% compared with prior outlook of 18.1% to 18.5%.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 5 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 2 insiders sold, $5.82M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at VSE
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 50
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Aerospace & Defense
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- BETA TechnologiesBETA $6.28B44
- Kuang-Chi Technologies002625.SZ $6.2B49
- HexcelHXL $6.17B64
- LIG Defense & Aerospace Co079550.KS $6.08B53
- Karman HoldingsKRMN $5.92B46
- TKMS AG & Co. KGaATKMS.DE $5.69B52
- Amentum HoldingsAMTM $5.56B56
- HD Hyundai Marine Solution Co443060.KS $5.48B69
ETFs that hold VSE
Held by 13 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.26% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.18% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.18% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
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| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.11% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.10% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.10% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.04% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.04% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral since 11 Nov 2026, previously Weak
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 10 Nov 2026, previously Overvalued
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.